Football has become bigger than life in the US; there are two sports seasons in the year: the one without football, and the one with football. Lots of people not only enjoy the game, but they occasionally make a casual bet on any team; here are some pointers to bet on football and make a profit.
If we talk about the NFL, there is a position that matters more than any other: quarterback. If your team has a franchise quarterback who is a down to earth guy, and trains every day to win on Sunday; your squad might be on the right track. The bad news for most of those teams? There are not many of this type of players.
Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees and the most consistent and spectacular players in the NFL, and when you approach to make a bet on football you need to realize which quarterback of the two teams playing is better.
Now, if we have a monster quarterback on one side, and an above average on the other side, the defense from the above average QB might help them to get the game close. Defenses are important, especially knowing tendencies about how that quarterback reacts to different schemes, blitzes and hits.
Momentum is key also, but you don’t want to overreact to that. A few years ago the NY Giants started 5-0 in the season, and ended up missing the playoffs because they weren’t real contender. Don’t fall in love with what a team did the week before; learn to identify which team is better, and the reason they are better.
For example, if the New England Patriots lose two in a row you should never overreact to that; their organization had given us too many reasons to understand they will correct errors and bounce back.
Remember, take the team with the better coach and quarterback, and don’t overreact to the result of the week before.