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The Lede: Betting Impact of the MLB Trade Deadline

Sonny Gray (By Terry Dobbins [http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0])

Don’t have time to read through 1,000 words, but need some informed betting tips? Here’s a quick rundown on today’s biggest sports story (as adjudged by me) and how it impacts the way you should bet. Today’s biggest betting news stems from the MLB trade deadline, and the 2017 World Series futures are sure to move in the coming days. Before you go putting new bets down, make sure of two things: (1) you understand the impact of all the trades that took place in relation to one another; for instance, just because the Nationals picked up another reliever, it doesn’t mean their WS chances improved, given what the Dodgers and Cubs did; and (2) you read our comprehensive reviews — like our Bodog review, BetOnline review, and MyBookie review — so you know which sportsbook is best for you.

Yankees and Dodgers Solidify Rotations at the Deadline

Although we weren’t treated to any blockbuster trades involving Manny Machado, Zach Britton, or Josh Donaldson, there were a couple premier starting pitchers moved at the MLB’s non-waiver trade deadline yesterday. The Los Angeles Dodgers were able to acquire Yu Darvish from the Rangers right before the cutoff, and the New York Yankees added Sonny Gray from the Athletics.

The Dodgers’ rotation was already the best in baseball with a 3.25 ERA, but their ace, Clayton Kershaw, is on the DL with a back injury and is going to miss an extended period of time. The addition of All-Star pitcher Darvish will certainly help the team cope with the loss of Kershaw.

The Yankees have the ninth-ranked rotation in the majors (4.15 ERA), but needed to replace Michael Pineda, who underwent season-ending Tommy John surgery in early July. Gray not only fills the void but pairs with Luis Severino to form a solid one-two punch at the front of the rotation.

Outside of Gray and Darvish, a hefty number of relief pitchers were moved and a few Major League position players, as well. So how should you, as a World Series futures bettor, react to all the movement?

First of all, treat the Dodgers like a high-school crush. Ignore the temptation to ask them out, but drop a flirty text once in a while. Los Angeles’ +275 odds provide next to no value, and you need to hold off until they get a little longer. (Good news, we’re tracking that for you.) Without a Kershaw start once every five games, LA won’t be able to keep its current pace. When they stumble a little and their odds get worse, be sure you’re there to pounce. Kershaw should be back for the playoffs (in all likelihood) and, at full strength, this team is a cut above anything else the National League has to offer.

If Kershaw’s health scares you away from the Dodgers, then the Cubs are the play and, sitting at +700, they’re offering value now. Jose Quintana looks like a true ace and their offense is finally starting to wake up.

In the AL, the Yankees were the most aggressive team leading up to the deadline. The additions of Gray, Jaime Garcia, Todd Frazier, and David Robertson over the last couple weeks bolstered what was already an extremely talented roster. What’s most encouraging is their 12-5 record since the All-Star break, even with rookie sensation Aaron Judge hitting a pitiful .169 at the plate. New York is proving that the jury is strong enough to carry the team when the Judge is on break. Like the Cubs, the Yankee’s current World Series odds (+900) offer value now, especially with the AL-leading Astros failing to make any significant moves at the deadline.

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After receiving a bachelor's degree in communications, Matt spent two years with Rogers TV as a host, producer, and play-by-play commentator. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's editor-in-chief and sports betting expert.