Don’t expect a nail-biter on Saturday when the #10 Florida Gators (17-14) face the #2 Michigan Wolverines (26-5) at Wells Fargo Arena in the second round of March Madness. The Wolverines opened as sizable 7-point favorites with tip slated for 5:15 pm ET.
The underdog Gators enter the game averaging 68 PPG, which ranks 284th overall. They are shooting a concerning 40-percent from the floor and 33-percent from three (275th).
They have been better defensively, currently 21st in the country at 64 PPG. But if this team plans to pull the upset today, it’s going to need more at the offensive end of the court.
KeVaughn Allen is the leader on offense, but he’s only averaging 12 points per game, which exemplifies this team’s struggles at that end. In terms of rebounds, Kevarrius Hayes has led the way with 6 rebounds a night.
Given how stingy they are defensively, the Gators are surprisingly bad on the glass, only registering 30 rebounds per night (292nd). They don’t get many second looks, and give up way too many.
Florida is coming off one of its most impressive games of the season, though, a 70-61 win over #7 Nevada, a veteran team that made a deep run in the tournament last year. Kevarrius Hayes led the way in that game with 16 points, making up for a somewhat quiet night from Allen (10 points).
The Gators will be facing a capable, but certainly not explosive, offense today in the form of Michigan. The Wolverines sit 103rd in offensive rating and are averaging 70 PPG (240th). They shoot a respectable 42-percent from the field, 35-percent from three (161st), and 69-percent from the charity stripe (245th).
The Wolverines pair their half-decent offense with one of the country’s best defenses. They currently rank 2nd in defensive efficiency and are surrendering only 59 PPG (3rd). This team can beat you even if their shots aren’t falling.
Freshman Ignas Brazdeikis has led the charge on offense, scoring 15 points a night, while Jon Teske leads the Wolverines in rebounds, pulling in 7 rebounds per game.
Like Florida, Michigan is another surprisingly bad rebounding team, pulling down just 32 rebounds a night, which sits 206th overall.
For the second year in a row, the Wolverines beat Montana in the first round of the tournament (74-55). Charles Matthews led the team in scoring, with 22 points in the W. Brazdeikis added 14 points and 7 rebounds.
The ATS trends favor Michigan. The Wolverines have been good against the spread this year, with a 20-15-0 ATS record, while Florida is just 17-18-0 ATS after thoroughly underperforming compared to expectations in the regular season.
Get the current odds, spread, and score projection for Florida vs Michigan above and good luck betting.