There may not be much drama today when the Connecticut Huskies (15-16) play the Houston Cougars (29-2) at FedExForum in the quarterfinals of the AAC Tournament. The top-seeded Cougars opened as big 10-point favorites with tip slated for 12:00 pm ET.
The underdog Huskies are a bit better on offense than defense, but have not been overly effective on either side. Their offense is 128th in the nation in offensive rating, and come into today’s game scoring 75 PPG (128th). They are hitting at 42-percent from the field and 35-percent from three (160th).
On defense, Connecticut is giving up a concerning 71 points per game, which puts them 169th overall, and is a disconcerting 138th in defensive rating. The only way for Connecticut to upset the Cougars is to improve its defensive effort.
Offensively, they have been led by Jalen Adams, who’s pouring in a team-leading 17 points per game. Josh Carlton leads the team in rebounding, averaging 6 boards a night.
Collectively, the Huskies are weak on the glass, recording 32 rebounds a night, 234th among the 353 DI teams. They don’t get many second looks, and give up way too many.
Connecticut is coming off an 80-73 win over South Florida in the first round of the American Conference Tournament. Christian Vital led the team with 25 points, while Adams kept up his strong play, adding 19 points.
The Huskies will be facing a Houston bunch that is elite offensively, sitting 21st in offensive rating. That’s led to the Cougars averaging 76 points per contest, 84th in the nation. They are shooting a proficient 42-percent from the floor, 36-percent from three (86th), and 71-percent from the line (148th).
The Cougars pair their highly efficient offense with a stout D, one which sits 7th in defensive rating and is surrendering only 62 points, on average, heading into their tilt with Connecticut. This is a team that can beat you in multiple ways.
Corey Davis Jr. has been their go-to scorer, averaging 17 points a night, while Armoni Brooks leads the Cougars on the glass, pulling in 7 rebounds a night.
Brooks’s prowess on the glass has helped Houston dominate that part of the game. As a team, they are 15th in rebounds, at 37 RPG.
The Cougars were able to get a win last time out, beating Cincinnati 85-69 to finish the regular season with sole possession of first in the AAC. Davis Jr. led the team in scoring, as usual, pouring in 31 points in the win.
When it comes to the spread, Houston has been profitable, going 20-10-1 ATS. But approach with caution because Connecticut is a solid 19-13-0 ATS. Both squads have been better than expected this year. The Huskies are below .500 on the road, though, going 1-8 straight up away from home for the year. The Cougars have a strong 19-1 straight up record at FedExForum.
Get up-to-the-minute odds, spread, and score prediction for Connecticut vs Houston in the tables, above, and good luck with your wagers.