There’s little dividing the #3 Texas Tech Red Raiders (26-5) and the #2 Michigan Wolverines (26-5) according to sportsbooks. The spread for Saturday’s Sweet 16 tilt (9:39 pm at Honda Center) opened at Wolverines -2 with a total of 128 O/U.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview
The Red Raiders enter the game averaging 73 points per game, which ranks 160th in America. On a per-possession basis, they are 82nd overall in terms of scoring. In KenPom’s efficiency metric, though, they are 33rd, due to shooting a respectable 44-percent from the floor and 37-percent from the three-point line (73rd).
The offense has been about as expected so far in the tournament. Through two rounds, the Red Raiders are averaging 75 points per game.
To say they are better defensively would be a massive understatement. They are currently 1st in defensive rating, 1st in defensive efficiency, and 2nd in the country in scoring defense at 59 PPG.
The defense has been even better than usual in the tournament, holding #14 Northern Kentucky and #6 Buffalo to just 57.5 PPG.
The Red Raiders really haven’t been tested through the opening rounds, beating up on the Norse 72-57, followed by a 20-point shellacking of the Bulls (78-58).
The offense is paced by Jarrett Culver, who’s pouring in a team-best 18 points per game. The indispensable Culver is Texas Tech’s most prolific rebounder, as well, pulling down 6 rebounds per contest. He has been terrific in March Madness, going for 29 points in round one and a team-leading 16 in round two, though he was only 5/13 from the field against Buffalo.
Texas Tech vs Michigan Statistical Comparison
|28-6 (5-2 neutral)||Record||30-6 (6-1 neutral)|
|+27.84 (7th)||Overall Efficiency Rating||+29.74 (5th)|
|113.2 (33rd)||Offensive Efficiency Rating||115.6 (19th)|
|85.3 (1st)||Defensive Efficiency Rating||85.8 (2nd)|
|72-57 vs #14 Northern Kentucky||Round 1 Result||74-55 vs #15 Montana|
|78-58 vs #6 Buffalo||Round 2 Result||64-49 vs #10 Florida|
Michigan Wolverines Preview
The Red Raiders will be facing something of a carbon copy of themselves in the form of Michigan. The Wolverines are 103rd in offensive rating, 19th in offensive efficiency, and are averaging 70 points a night (240th). They are solid, but not elite at the offensive end.
On defense, however, the Wolverines are about as stingy as they come. They currently rank 5th in defensive rating, 2nd in defensive efficiency, and allow only 59 PPG (3rd) heading into today’s game. This is arguably a game between the two best defenses in America.
Freshman wing Ignas Brazdeikis has led the charge on offense, averaging 15 points per game, while Jon Teske leads the team in rebounds, hauling in 7 rebounds per game.
But, as a team, Michigan is atrocious in terms rebounding, pulling down 32 rebounds per game, which is 206th overall. Texas Tech isn’t much better, though, sitting 205th.
The Wolverines have also rolled to two easy wins so far. After downing Montana 74-55 in their opener, they steadily distanced Florida in round two (64-49). Jordan Poole led the team in scoring, pouring in 19 points in the W.
Against the number, Michigan has been profitable, going 21-15-0 ATS. Texas Tech is over .500 as well, but just barely, sitting at 17-16-1 ATS.
Get the most recent odds, the history of how the line has moved, and our proprietary projection system’s score prediction for Texas Tech vs Michigan above. As always, best of luck betting.