There’s little to separate the Michigan St Spartans (25-6) and the Duke Blue Devils (26-5) according to sportsbooks. The spread for today’s Elite Eight NCAA Tournament tilt (5:05 pm at Capital One Arena) opened at Blue Devils -2 with a total of 149 O/U.
The Spartans excel on offense and defense; they come in averaging 80 points per game, which ranks number 39 overall, while sitting 11th in offensive rating. They shoot 46-percent from the floor and 38-percent from three (28th).
At the other end, Michigan St is ranked 20th in defensive rating and gives up 66 points per game, 44th in DI. They have held teams to 38-percent shooting from the floor and sit 3rd in blocks and 291st in steals.
Offensively, they have been paced by Cassius Winston, who’s scoring a team-best 19 points per game. Kenny Goins leads the team in rebounding, pulling down 9 boards per game.
The Spartans have been tenacious on the boards, sitting 3rd overall at 39 rebounds a game .
Michigan St is coming off an 80-63 win over Louisiana State. Aaron Henry led the team in that one with 20 points, making up for a somewhat quiet night from Winston (17 points).
The Spartans will be facing a Duke team that is adept on offense, currently 18th in offensive rating. That has led to the Blue Devils scoring 84 points a night, 8th overall.
The Blue Devils pair their efficient offense with a stout D, one which sits 6th in defensive rating and is surrendering just 67 PPG heading into their tilt with Michigan St. This is a team that can beat you in multiple ways.
While Zion Williamson gets all the headlines, it’s actually RJ Barrett that leads the team in scoring, averaging 23 points per game, while Zion leads the Blue Devils in rebounding, hauling in 9 RPG.
Williamson’s work on the glass has helped Duke dominate that facet of the game. As a team, they are 2nd on the boards, averaging 40 RPG.
The Blue Devils are coming off a W in their last game, beating Virginia Tech 75-73 in the Sweet 16. Williamson led the team in scoring, pouring in 23 points in the W.
Michigan St is 26-11-0 against the number, up to this point, while Duke is just 18-18-1 ATS.
See the most recent moneyline, the history of how the line has moved, and our proprietary projection system’s score prediction for Michigan St vs Duke above. As always, best of luck betting.