Nevada (7-5) is the underdog against Arkansas State (8-4) in the Arizona Bowl at Arizona Stadium on Saturday (December 29, 2018, 13:15ET).
The betting line was first offered at a narrow -1.5 points for the Red Wolves. They’ve gone 7-2 SU as favorites this year, and 5-4-0 against the spread. The Wolf Pack are 2-4 straight up as underdogs, and 3-3-0 against the spread.
Nevada quarterback Ty Gangi completed 61.1% of his passes this season for 3,131 yards and 23 touchdowns. Toa Taua gained 1,010 yards from scrimmage and rushed for 6 touchdowns, averaging a decent 5.2 yards per carry.
As a squad, Nevada gained 443.2 yards per game and scored 32.3 points per game. The defense allowed 378.3 yards and 28.1 points per game, while Malik Reed led the squad with 8 sacks this season.
The Red Wolves offense features quarterback Justice Hansen, who threw for 3,172 yards and 27 TD’s this season. Hansen completed 67.0% of his passes, good for a passer rating of 155.6. Marcel Murray ran for 816 yards and 7 touchdowns, averaging a strong 5.8 yards per carry.
Altogether, Arkansas State averaged 464.8 yards per game and 31.8 points. The defense allowed 376.4 yards and 26.4 points per game. Ronheen Bingham recorded 9 sacks this season.
Arizona Bowl Betting Preview
Neither of these teams is really exceptional on either side of the ball, so betting the over/under is tough. The over is 5-7 in Nevada games this season. The Arkansas State over is an enticing 4-8 this season. Betting the over/under(set at 60.0) could be the way to find value in this game.