Army (10-2) is the favorite against Houston (8-4) in the Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday (December 22, 2018, 15:30ET).
The spread opened at -3.0 points for Houston, but has completely shifted since then. The over/under for this game opened at 60, but has come down to 57.
Army’s had a great season, and finished 10-2 with key wins over Air Force, Navy, and a close loss to Oklahoma.
Army quarterback Kelvin Hopkins Jr. completed 53.3% of his attempts this season for 956 yards and 6 touchdowns. Hopkins Jr. is an efficient quarterback, with a passer rating of 157.9 this season. Darnell Woolfolk gained 885 yards from scrimmage and rushed for 14 touchdowns, averaging 4.2 yards per carry.
As a squad, Army gained 375.9 yards per game and scored 29.7 points per game. The defense allowed just 293.5 yards and 18.0 points per game, while James Nachtigal led the Black Knights with 5 sacks this season.
This will be Houston’s first game of the post-Ed Oliver era, and he will be sorely missed against Army’s tricky offense.
The Cougars offense features QB D’Eriq King, who passed for 2,982 yards and 36 TD’s this season. King completed 63.5% of his passes, good for a passer rating of 167.0. Patrick Carr ran for 885 yards and 5 touchdowns, averaging a remarkable 5.7 yards per carry. The Cougars offense is truly elite.
Altogether, Houston averaged 528.3 yards per game and 46.4 points. The defense allowed 488.9 yards and 34.4 points per game. Austin Robinson recorded 6 sacks this season.
Armed Forces Bowl Betting Advice
This game will feature at least two truly excellent units, the Houston offense and the Army defense. That unstoppable force/immovable object dynamic makes betting the over/under difficult, but crucially important. The total for this game is currently set at 61.0, and how you feel about that line will likely decide the game. Consider parlaying an over/under bet with the corresponding spread pick.