Penn State (9-3) is the favorite against Kentucky (9-3) at Camping World Stadium on Tuesday (January 1, 2019, 13:00ET).
The betting line started at -6.5 points for the Nittany Lions. They’ve gone a tempting 9-1 SU as favorites this year, and 6-4-0 against the spread. The Wildcats are 3-2 straight up as underdogs, and 3-2-0 against the spread.
James Franklin and Penn State fans mourned the loss of Joe Moorhead and Saquon Barkley this year, as the Nittany Lions showed flashes of greatness but ultimately didn’t have quite the same spark in 2018. They came within a point of Ohio State, and lost to Michigan State and Michigan later in the year.
Penn State quarterback Trace McSorley completed 53.5% of his passes this season for 2,285 yards and 16 touchdowns. Miles Sanders gained 1,355 yards from scrimmage and rushed for 9 touchdowns, averaging a respectable 5.9 yards per carry.
As a whole, the team gained 424.3 yards per game and scored 34.6 points per game. The defense allowed 354.9 yards and 20.0 points per game, while Yetur Gross-Matos led the squad with 8 sacks this season.
Kentucky fans will remember this season, whatever happens in the Citrus Bowl. They broke the streak against Florida, beat Louisville 56-10, and very nearly won the division. Build a statue of Benny Snell.
The Wildcats offense features QB Terry Wilson, who passed for 1,768 yards and 11 TD’s this season. Wilson completed 67.6% of his passes, which works out to a passer rating of 134.3. Benny Snell Jr. ran for 1,223 yards and 14 touchdowns, averaging a commendable 5.1 yards per carry.
Altogether, Kentucky averaged 369.0 yards per game and 26.6 points. The defense allowed 327.0 yards and 16.3 points per game. Josh Allen recorded 14 sacks this season.
Citrus Bowl Betting Advice
Both teams play exceptional defense, so bettors will be tempted to take the under. The under is a combined 12-12 in games featuring these two teams, which is somewhat disappointing. The over/under of this game is set at 47.5.