Troy (9-3) is the underdog against Buffalo (10-3) in the Dollar General Bowl at Ladd-Peebles Stadium on Saturday (December 22, 2018, 19:00ET).
The spread was first listed at only -2.5 points for the Bulls. They’ve gone 8-2 straight up as favorites this year, and 7-3-0 against the spread. The Trojans are 1-2 straight up as underdogs, and 2-1-0 against the spread.
Troy QB Sawyer Smith completed 61.1% of his attempts this season for 1,349 yards and 10 touchdowns. B.J. Smith gained 1,192 yards from scrimmage and rushed for 12 touchdowns, averaging a solid 5.5 yards per carry.
As a whole, Troy gained 385.5 yards per game and scored 29.8 points per game. The defense allowed 345.6 yards and 21.2 points per game, while Hunter Reese led the team with 8 sacks this season.
The Bulls offense features QB Tyree Jackson, who passed for 2,857 yards and 27 TD’s this season. Jackson completed 55.1% of his passes, which works out to a passer rating of 137.7. Jaret Patterson ran for 1,090 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging a remarkable 5.7 yards per carry.
Altogether, Buffalo averaged 417.6 yards per game and 34.8 points. The defense allowed 349.4 yards and 24.7 points per game. Chuck Harris notched 7 sacks this season.
Dollar General Bowl Betting Advice
This game will feature at least two truly excellent units, the Buffalo offense and the Troy defense. That unstoppable force/immovable object dynamic makes betting the over/under difficult, but crucially important. The total for this game is currently set at 52.0, and how you feel about that line will likely decide the game. Consider parlaying an over/under bet with the corresponding spread pick.