Ohio (8-4) is the slight favorite against San Diego State (7-5) in the Frisco Bowl at Toyota Stadium on Wednesday (December 19, 2018, 20:00ET).
The spread started at just -2.5 points for Ohio, and has stayed about there since. The over/under is set at 49.5 in most books.
Ohio QB Nathan Rourke completed 61.3% of his attempts this season for 2,225 yards and 22 touchdowns. Rourke is an efficient quarterback, with a passer rating of 158.3 this season. A.J. Ouellette gained 1,321 yards from scrimmage and rushed for 12 touchdowns, averaging a decent 6.2 yards per carry.
As a whole, Ohio gained 470.8 yards per game and scored 41.2 points per game. The defense allowed 399.5 yards and 26.7 points per game, while Kent Berger led the squad with 5 sacks this season.
San Diego State
The Aztecs offense features quarterback Ryan Agnew, who threw for 1,525 yards and 10 TD’s this season. Agnew completed 52.3% of his passes, which works out to a passer rating of 128.2. Juwan Washington ran for 1,142 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 4.8 yards per carry.
Altogether, San Diego State averaged 354.0 yards per game and 22.3 points. The defense allowed 327.4 yards and 21.8 points per game. Kyahva Tezino recorded 9 sacks this season.
Frisco Bowl Betting Advice
This game will feature at least two truly excellent units, the Ohio offense and the San Diego State defense. That unstoppable force/immovable object dynamic makes betting the over/under difficult, but crucially important. The total for this game is currently set at 53.5, and how you feel about that line will likely decide the game. Consider parlaying an over/under bet with the corresponding spread pick.