Auburn (7-5) is the favorite against Purdue (6-6) in the Music City Bowl at Nissan Stadium on Friday (December 28, 2018, 13:30ET).
The spread started at -3.5 points for the Tigers. The over/under for this game is set at 55.0, but don’t count on Auburns explosive offense to get you there.
Auburn had a complicated, potentially disappointing year, but not one that will get Gus Malzahn fired. After years of fielding the most interesting, dynamic offense in the SEC, things ground completely to a halt, and the Tigers ended up relying on their elite defense to win games.
Auburn quarterback Jarrett Stidham completed 60.1% of his attempts this season for 2,421 yards and 13 touchdowns. JaTarvious Whitlow gained 884 yards from scrimmage and rushed for 4 touchdowns, averaging a decent 5.4 yards per carry.
As a whole, the team gained 373.6 yards per game and scored 28.3 points per game. The defense allowed 363.6 yards and 19.6 points per game, while Nick Coe led the Tigers with 7 sacks this season.
Purdue beat Ohio State this year, and haven’t lost their head coach yet, and that’s all you need to know. Once a laughing stock of the Big 10, the Boilermakers finished second in their division with wins over Iowa, Nebraska, Boston College, and Ohio State.
The Boilermakers offense features QB David Blough, who passed for 3,521 yards and 25 TD’s this season. Blough completed 66.6% of his passes, which works out to a passer rating of 151.8. D.J. Knox ran for 777 yards and 8 touchdowns, averaging a strong 5.8 yards per carry.
Altogether, Purdue averaged 459.0 yards per game and 31.9 points. The defense allowed 445.3 yards and 27.3 points per game. Markus Bailey notched 7 sacks this season.
Music City Bowl Betting Advice
My only advice is to not let the Ohio State game color you decision making too much, the Buckeyes have decided to drop one bizarre game a season. It’s not like Iowa was spectacular in the Pinstripe Bowl last year.