NC State (8-3) is the favorite against East Carolina (3-8) at Carter-Finley Stadium on Saturday (December 1, 2018, 12:00ET).
The betting line was first offered at a sharp -23.0 points for the Wolfpack. They’ve gone 8-2 straight up as favorites this year, and 5-5-0 against the spread. The Pirates are 1-7 straight up as underdogs, and 3-5-0 against the spread.
NC State quarterback Ryan Finley completed 67.4% of his attempts this season for 3,380 yards and 21 touchdowns. Finley is an efficient quarterback, with a passer rating of 150.1 this season. Reggie Gallaspy Jr. gained 818 yards from scrimmage and rushed for 16 touchdowns, averaging 4.2 yards per carry.
All together, NC State gained 454.8 yards per game and scored 33.5 points per game. The defense allowed 405.4 yards and 24.5 points per game, while Germaine Pratt led the squad with 6 sacks this season.
The Pirates offense features QB Holton Ahlers, who passed for 1,785 yards and 12 TD’s this season. Ahlers completed 48.3% of his passes, which works out to a passer rating of 118.1. Holton Ahlers ran for 794 yards and 6 touchdowns, averaging 5.0 yards per carry.
Altogether, East Carolina averaged 442.6 yards per game and 24.5 points. The defense allowed 420.3 yards and 35.5 points per game. Nate Harvey recorded 11 sacks this season.
Neither of these teams really stands out on either side of the ball, so betting the game total is tough. The over is 5-6 in NC State games this season. The East Carolina over is 6-5 this season. Betting the over/under could be the way to find value in this game.