Online sports betting sites have made it clear we shouldn’t expect a tight game on Thursday, March 14 at Pepsi Center as the Nuggets opened as 11.0 point favorites versus the Mavericks. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. EST.
Dallas comes into this game with the league’s 18th-ranked defensive rating. They’re giving up 109.6 points per game and are 14th in field goals allowed and 13th in three-pointers allowed. Offensively, they’re averaging 107.9 points and are 18th in rebounds and 25th in assists.
They’ve received big contributions this season from Luka Doncic, who is putting up 20.9 points per game on 40.0% shooting.
Denver, meanwhile, has the Association’s 3rd-ranked offensive rating. The Nuggets are averaging 112.3 points per game on 44.0% shooting and are sixth in rebounds and second in assists.
They’ve been paced this season by Nikola Jokic, who is leading the Nuggets with 20.4 points per game on 47.0% shooting, and Jamal Murray, who is chipping in 18.4 points per game. The Mavericks will have their hands full with both players tonight.
The Nuggets are giving up 107.3 points per game at the other end of the court and are 12th in field goals allowed and first in three-pointers allowed. They’re letting opponents shoot 46.0% from the floor and 34.0% from deep.
These two teams have tangled two times this year, with the Mavericks failing to pick up a win. The last time they played on February 23rd, 2019, Denver won 114- 104 behind 19 points from Nikola Jokic.
The Nuggets are hot on the heels of a 107-133 win against the Timberwolves in Minnesota in which they were 18 for 30 from deep and won the war on the glass 45-39. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are fresh off a 105-112 loss vs the Spurs in Dallas in which they handed out 22 assists and scratched and clawed their way to one swipes. Jalen Brunson torched the Spurs for 34 points.
Overall, the Mavericks have won one of their last ten games and are 14th in the Western Conference, while the Nuggets have lost four of their last ten and are second in the Western Conference.
The 11.0-point spread isn’t the only angle you can take advantage of. Sportsbooks have also set a robust over/under total of 220. Bear in mind that Dallas is 37-29-1 against the spread this year and 30-37-0 over/under, compared to 36-30-0 ATS and 30-36-0 over/under for Denver.
Feeling intrigued? Tonight’s game gets underway soon!