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Aussie Rules Football Round 13 Odds & Predictions: Demons, Saints Look to Make Gains on AFL Ladder

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in News

Updated Mar 18, 2021 · 12:44 PM PDT

Aussie Rules Football football
An Aussie Rules Football football (Photo: public domain)
  • A tight race has emerged among clubs in the top eight on the AFL ladder heading into Aussie Rules Football Round 13 action
  • The Melbourne Demons face the Western Bulldogs in a battle for eighth place, while St. Kilda and the Sydney Swans both aim to build on big Round 12 wins as betting underdogs
  • Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of AFL Round 13

It is another week of big point spreads in Aussie Rules Football, with seven of nine matches sporting double-digit favorites in the AFL Round 13 odds. However, with just four points separating the top five clubs on the AFL ladder, key matchups abound. Currently deadlocked atop the ladder with Port Adelaide at 36 points, the Brisbane Lions take on the surprising St. Kilda Saints as 15.5-point chalk.

In one of the tightest matchups of Round 13, a spot among the top eight is on the line as the Melbourne Demons battle the Western Bulldogs as 5.5-point favorites, while the Sydney Swans aim to build on last week’s 66-25 rout of the Greater Western Sydney Giants as they take on the Fremantle Dockers as 9.5-point underdogs in a clash of clubs looking to return to playoff contention.

We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends as AFL Round 13 kicks off.

Aussie Rules Round 13 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Odds at DraftKings Total
Carlton Blues -10.5 (-112) -186 O 121.5 (-112)
Gold Coast Suns +10.5 (-112) +150 U 121.5 (-112)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Melbourne Demons -5.5 (-112) -139 O 132.5 (-112)
Western Bulldogs +5.5 (-112) +115 U 132.5 (-112)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Hawthorn Hawks +26.5 (-112) +480 O 120.5 (-112)
Port Adelaide Power -26.5 (-112) -715 U 120.5 (-112)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Richmond Tigers -25.5 (-118) -625 O 118.5 (-112)
Essendon Bombers +25.5 (-112) +420 U 118.5 (-112)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Sydney Swans +8.5 (-112) +140 O 105.5 (-112)
Fremantle Dockers -8.5 (-112) -167 U 105.5 (-112)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Geelong Cats -37.5 (-112) -1250 O 128.5 (-112)
Adelaide Crows +37.5 (-112) +750 U 128.5 (-112)
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
St. Kilda Saints +15.5 (-112) +190 O 135.5 (-112)
Brisbane Lions -15.5 (-112) -240 U 135.5
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Greater Western Sydney Giants +18.5 (-112) +240 O 118.5 (-112)
West Coast Eagles -18.5 (-112) -315 U 118.5
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
North Melbourne FC +16.5 (-112) +220 O 120.5 (-112)
Collingwood Magpies -16.5 (-112) -278 U 120.5

Odds taken Aug. 20

Spot Among Top Eight at Stake as Demons Battle Bulldogs

The Melbourne Demons aim to cement their hold on a spot among the top eight with a fourth straight victory when they clash with the struggling Western Bulldogs on Friday night at Metricon Stadium. The Demons offense has impressed during the club’s current tear. Melbourne has now averaged an impressive 93.33 points per match over their past three contests. And the Demons defense has been equally impressive, allowing just 38.67 points per match during that stretch.

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The first two wins in Melbourne’s win streak came against the clubs at the bottom of the AFL ladder, North Melbourne and Adelaide. However, with last week’s 100-44 beat down of the Collingwood Magpies, it may be time to take the Demons seriously. The club has played stingy defense all season and allowed the second-fewest points of any club. And while Melbourne dropped a 74-66 decision to the Bulldogs in their last meeting in Round 17 of last season, they claimed victory by an average margin of 49.5 points in two previous wins.

The Western Bulldogs will try to win two in a row for the first time since mid-July, as they host the Demons in AFL Round 13. A date with the Crows proved to be just what the Bulldogs needed to snap a three-game losing streak. The club romped to an easy 111-54 win over Adelaide last weekend but has otherwise struggled to generate offense, averaging just 53.5 points during a 1-3-0 win-loss-draw run in their four previous contests.

The Bulldogs’ uneven performance extends to their matches while pegged as the home squad this season. The club has produced a middling 3-2-0 record, and are 0-5-0 in five overall meetings with opponents currently sitting among the top eight.

Picks: Melbourne Demons -5.5 (-112); OVER 131.5 (-112)

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Saints Aim to Strengthen Contender Credentials vs Lions

The St. Kilda Saints will have another chance to prove they belong among the AFL’s elite clubs when they take on the Brisbane Lions in a very early Sunday morning matchup at the Gabba. The Saints recorded a decisive 68-33 win over the Essendon Bombers last week to improve to 8-4-0 on the season, just four points back of the Lions and Port Adelaide Power in the race for the top of the ladder.

The Saints solid performance marks a big step up from a year ago, when they finished the campaign well out of contention, in 13th place. But while St. Kilda has remained in the hunt with wins in three of four outings, they have produced mixed results against top-flight opponents.

The club has recorded decisive victories over Port Adelaide and the defending champion Richmond Lions, but are just two weeks removed from a crushing 93-34 loss to the Geelong Cats. The club’s offense also disappeared in a humiliating 81-37 loss to the Magpies earlier this season, creating uncertainty as to which version of the Saints will show up this weekend.

While the Lions sport a league-best 9-3-0 record, they were fortunate to escape with a narrow 53-52 win over North Melbourne last weekend. That extended a stretch of inconsistency that has seen Brisbane score 53 or fewer points in four of their past eight outings. However, that trend does not extend to recent dates with the Saints, with the Lions averaging just under 100 points per match while going 1-1-0 over their past two meetings.

It also makes it tough to go with Brisbane as heavy 15.5-point chalk. Look for the Saints to keep this one close, if not win outright, in a lower scoring affair.

Picks: St. Kilda Saints +15.5 (-112); UNDER 134.5 (-112)

Swans Poised for Upset vs Dockers

Fresh off last week’s impressive victory over the GSW Giants, the Sydney Swans look to win consecutive matches for the first time this season as they take on the Fremantle Dockers. The Swans dumped the Giants out of the top eight with an impressive 66-25 win, and have now picked up four points in two of their past four contests.

Sydney has played steady defense during their recent surge, limiting opponents to 53 or fewer points in three of their past four matches. They have also effectively shut down the Dockers offense in recent meetings, allowing just 47.67 points per game while taking two of three from Fremantle.

That is bad news for the offensively challenged Dockers, who are coming off a 40-36 loss to Carlton in Round 12. Overall, Fremantle has been far from an offensive force during a 2-3-0 slide, during which they have scored just 38.6 points per match. That trend becomes even more worrisome considering that the Dockers have been the home team in each of those five contests.

With these two clubs looking to be headed in opposite directions, look for the Swans to step up and claim the outright win, with goals coming at a premium in Saturday morning’s matchup at Optus Stadium.

Picks: Sydney Swans to win (+145); UNDER 104.5 (-112)

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