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True Detective Season 3 Odds: Who Killed Will Purcell? Is Henry Having an Affair?

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Entertainment

Updated Apr 23, 2020 · 1:12 PM PDT

True Detective star Mahershala Ali.
Mahershala Ali stars in season 3 of True Detective. Photo by HBO.
  • True Detective Season 3 has rebounded from an indifferent Season 2
  • The whodunit anthology is drawing positive reviews
  • Oddsmakers are offering an array of prop bets on the show’s outcome

Time does heal all wounds, including those inflicted by True Detective Season 2. A star-studded cast that included Vince Vaughn, Colin Farrell, and Rachel McAdams couldn’t save a confusing plot that made an episode of Twin Peaks make perfect sense by comparison.

Four years later, Season 3 has enthralled the critics and caught the attention of the sportsbooks, as multiple props have been released.

In Donald Trump’s MAGA world, Brett Woodard makes for the prototypical perp. Searching for a child killer, who makes a more ideal scapegoat for the mob mentality than the visible minority?

Woodard’s home exploded at the end of Episode 4.

True Detective Season 3: Does Brett Woodard Die in Epsiode 5?

True Detective Season 3: Does Brett Woodard Die in Epsiode 5? Odds
Yes -350
No +225

Is it all over for Woodard? We think so. He’s just another victim of this crime.

Does Roland End Up Marrying Lori?

True Detective Season 3: Does Roland End Up Marrying Lori? Odds
Yes -250
No +170

Detective Roland West hooked up with Lori in Episode 4. Was it the beginning of a courtship that will lead them down the aisle?

Roland doesn’t strike us as the settling down type. We don’t see wedding bells in their future.

Then there’s the whole Henry-Eliza dynamic? Are these two an item?

Is Henry Having an Affair With Eliza?

True Detective Season 3: Is Henry Having an Affair With Eliza? Odds
Yes -250
No +170

The circumstantial evidence is strong. Two glasses of wine and a disheveled bed at Eliza’s. We’re going with yes on this wager.

Who Burns Down The Purcell House?

True Detective Season 3: Who Burns Down the Purcell House? Odds
Tom -200
Lucy +150

Tom talks about not wanting to go back to their home, of its haunting memories. Fire would cleanse that.
On the subject of cleansing, someone took out Dan O’Brien, the creepy cousin of Will and Julie Purcell. He was staying with the family at the time of Will’s murder, evidently supplying Will with adult magazines. There was also a peephole in the wall between his and Julie’s rooms.

Who Murdered Dan O’Brien?

True Detective Season 3: Who Murdered Dan O’Brien? Odds
Wayne/Roland -200
Other Character +200
Tom Purcell +400

O’Brien makes a logical candidate as Will’s murderer, but Tom seems too pathetic to be a vengeance seeker. Lucy Purcell, on the other hand… yeah, we could see that happening.

Will either Wayne or Roland take a bullet before the series is done?

You just know one of them will.

Will Either Roland or Wayne Get Shot Before The Season Ends?

True Detective Season 3: Will Either Roland or Wayne Get Shot Before the Season Ends? Odds
Yes -400
No +250

Might that even explain Roland’s absence in the modern-day scenes?

Ultimately, that’s why we’re all tuning in, to find the real killer. As with any murder mystery, the pool of candidates is deep.

Who Murdered Will Purcell?

True Detective Season 3: Who Murdered Will Purcell? Odds
Freddy Burns +200
Hoyt Foods CEO/Family Member/Employee +300
Man With the ‘Dead Eye +300
Ryan Peters +300
Alan Jones +500
Priest +500
Amelia Reardon +750
Greg Larson +750
Brett Woodard +2000
Lori +2500
Lucy Purcell +2500
Roland West +2500
Tom Purcell +2500
Wayne Hays +2500
Dan O’Brien +3300

There are some we’re ruling out right off the top because it’s too cliche for it to be one of them. That list includes Freddy Burns, Brett Woodard, and Dan O’Brien.

Sam Whitehead appears to be the man with the dead eye. Is this an ode to The Fugitive, like the elusive one-armed man? We don’t think so.

There’s a twist coming here – isn’t there always with True Detective? We think the killer will be a woman. There’s been theories put forth that it’s Amelia Reardon – did committing a crime catapult her into true crime writing?

We’re putting our money on Lucy Purcell. She’s definitely no mother of the year candidate, cheating countless times on her husband. Was her death years later from a drug overdose the end of a guilt-ridden existence?

Odds on Total US Viewers for the True Detective Season 3 Season Finale

True Detective Season 3: Total U.S. Viewers for the Season Finale Odds
Over 1.5 million -120
Under 1.5 million -120

Through four episodes, the series has averaged 1.285 million viewers. Episode 4 drew a series-high 1.45 million.

Both the Season 1 (3.5 million) and Season 2 (2.73 million) finales went way over 1.5 million. Bet the over.

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