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McIlroy Closes the Gap on Koepka in the 2019 Open Championship Futures Odds

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Apr 1, 2020 · 8:13 AM PDT

Rory McIlroy with a determined look on his face.
Rory McIlroy is almost level with Major savant Brooks Koepka in the updated odds to win the 2019 Open Championship. Photo by TourProGolfClubs (flickr) [CC License].
  • The 148th edition of the Open Championship tees off Thursday, July 18th
  • Rory McIlroy’s odds have moved closer to favorite Brooks Koepka
  • Who offers the best value to bring home the Claret Jug?

In just two weeks, the final major of the 2019 golf season will be contested as the Open Championship heads to historic Royal Portrush Golf Club (July 18th-21st).

Leading into the event, Brooks Koepka is the favorite to hoist his first career Claret Jug, while 2014 champ Rory McIlroy has seen his Open Championship odds shorten. On average, the Northern Irishman is now at +830 compared to Koepka’s +730.

Which golfer provides the best value?

Who Will Win the 2019 Open Championship?

Golfer Odds
Brooks Koepka +800
Rory McIlroy +800
Tiger Woods +1000
Dustin Johnson +1200
Justin Rose +1400
Francesco Molinari +1800
Jon Rahm +2000
Jordan Spieth +2000
Rickie Fowler +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2200

*Odds taken 07/02/19. Follow the link in the table above to see all options.

All Brooks Koepka Does is Contend (and Win) Majors

Brooks Koepka has earned the #1 golfer in the world ranking by playing world class golf in the majors the last three seasons. Simply put, despite his low odds, he’s an auto bet at every single major championship regardless of form in the ‘minor’ tournaments leading into the event.

Last year Koepka had an uncharacteristic T-39 showing at the Open, but the two he contested before that yielded T-6 and T-10th results. Koepka has proven time and time again that he’s a machine at the majors, so if you were to choose one golfer between Koepka and McIlroy, the answer is clear.

Brooks Koepka & Rory McIlroy’s Last Six Majors

Brooks Koepka
VS
Rory McIlroy
2nd 2019 US Open T-9th
WON 2019 PGA Championship T-8th
T-2nd 2019 Masters T-21st
WON 2018 PGA Championship T-50th
T-39th 2018 Open Championship T-2nd
WON 2018 US Open CUT

 

Rory McIlroy always a factor at Open Championship

Just because Koepka has railroaded his competitors in recent majors, doesn’t mean Rory McIlroy is a slouch. He won the prestigious Players Championship back in March and, two tournaments ago, lifted more hardware at the RBC Canadian Open.

Plus, playing Royal Portrush is something of a home game for the Ulsterman.

McIlroy always is in contention at the Open Championship, as well, racking up four straight top-five results at golf’s oldest championship.

Rory McIlroy’s Last Four Open Championships

Year Result
2018 T-2nd
2017 T-4th
2016 T-5th
2014 WON

*McIlroy did not compete in 2015 Open Championship.

There’s not a lot standing in the way for Rory to capture his first major championship since 2014 – except for the behemoth Koepka. McIlroy is first in strokes gained off the tee, tops in SG: tee to green and also total strokes gained this season on the PGA Tour.

If it weren’t for the presence of Koepka, McIlroy would be the unquestioned favorite to win his second claret jug, but make the difficult decision to pass on him at the Open Championship.

The Best Value Bet to Win 2019 Open Championship

Xander Schauffele at +2500 offers the best bang for your buck, at the moment. In his last six majors, he’s posted an impressive four top-6 finishes, including a second-place showing in last year’s Open Championship and second and third-place results in this year’s Masters and US Open.

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