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Odds to Make the Cut at 2021 British Open

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Updated Jul 14, 2021 · 6:00 AM PDT

Bryson DeChambeau motions for his putt to move
Bryson DeChambeau gestures as he putts on the ninth green during the second round of the Rocket Mortgage Classic golf tournament, Friday, July 2, 2021, at the Detroit Golf Club in Detroit. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
  • You can bet on which golfers will make and miss the cut at the 2021 British Open
  • Which favorites might be heading home early? Will anyone off the radar reach the weekend?
  • See the odds to make and miss the cut for the top players below

Golf’s elite are in Sandwich, England this week for the season’s final Major. Royal St. George’s will play host to the 2021 British Open starting on Thursday (July 15th), and judging by the early weather forecast, plenty of carnage is going to ensue.

Sustained winds of 15 miles per hour are expected throughout the four day event, with gusts regularly reaching 22 mph. If that wasn’t enough of a wrench to throw at the players, word from the grounds is that the rough is absolutely gnarly.

A reporter for Open Radio this week said he hasn’t seen rough like this since Carnoustie in 1999. He also mentioned that Danny Willett could barely make contact with the ball from the thick grass after missing the fairway by just 8 yards.

All that to say, big names are going to be trunk slamming, and it’s our job to try and pinpoint which stars will make and miss the cut this week.

Odds to Make Cut and Miss Cut at 2021 British Open

Golfer Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Jon Rahm -1200 +800
Jordan Spieth -1000 +400
Rory McIlroy -650 +400
Xander Schauffele -650 +400
Dustin Johnson -650 +400
Justin Thomas -550 +350
Collin Morikawa -550 +350
Louis Oosthuizen -550 +350
Brooks Koepka -480 +400
Viktor Hovland -400 +275
Bryson DeChambeau -400 +275
Paul Casey -400 +275
Tyrrell Hatton -400 +275
Patrick Cantlay -400 +275
Tommy Fleetwood -400 +180
Shane Lowry -400 +250
Patrick Reed -400 +250
Matthew Fitzpatrick -400 +250
Tony Finau -355 +225
Daniel Berger -355 +225
Lee Westwood -355 +150
Scottie Scheffler -330 +225
Adam Scott -330 +200
 Webb Simpson -270 +196
 Harris English -235 +180
 Marc Leishman -225 +168
 Joaquin Niemann -225 +168
 Robert Macintyre -225 +168
 Cameron Smith -225 +150
 Abraham Ancer -210 +158
 Ian Poulter -205 +134
 Sergio Garcia -205 +154
Jason Day -205 +154
 Branden Grace -200 +150
Corey Conners -200 +134
 Alex Noren -176 +134

Odds as of July 13th at DraftKings and FanDuel.

Beware of Bryson

The first big name we are fading to make the weekend is Bryson DeChambeau. The big hitting American has been vocal about the rough this week, saying if he finds it too often he’s not going to have a good chance.

DeChambeau split with his long time caddie Tim Tucker just moments before his previous start and has a rocky track record at British Opens. He’s made just one of three cuts, and has yet to finish inside the top-50.

Also of concern is his short game. Yes, he’s an elite putter, but he’s struggled badly around the greens and has been awful with his wedges lately. Given how the last two British Opens held at Royal St. George’s yielded a sub 56% greens in regulation percentage, that could be a problem.

DeChambeau has lost strokes around the green in four straight starts and ranks 143rd in this field in proximity on shots between 75-100 yards.

Pick: Bryson DeChambeau To Miss Cut (+275)

A Full Fade on Finau

Our next target to trunk slam is Tony Finau. The 31-year-old has an excellent track record at this tournament, but seems to have lost his game recently. He’s fresh off back-to-back missed cuts, and has failed to make the weekend in five of his past 10 starts.

Fading Finau at a Major is usually a recipe for disaster, but this is not the type of course he typically excels at. Precision, not length, is mandatory at Royal St. George’s. Finau ranks 183rd in driving accuracy, and has lost a combined 4.9 strokes on approach over his past two tournaments.

Pick: Tony Finau To Miss Cut (+225)

Make the Cut Parlay

That’s enough doom and gloom for one article, now let’s focus on who will still be playing on the weekend. Alex Noren is one of only six players in the field to make every cut at this event since 2015 with a minimum of four appearances, and is just one start removed from a 4th place finish.

He has results of 11th, 17th and 6th in his last three British Open appearances, and has gained strokes on and around the greens in six of his past eight starts.

Let’s pair him up with Branden Grace, who’s made four of his past five British Open cuts, and is fresh off back-to back top-7 finishes at the Memorial and the U.S. Open.

He already owns a victory this year, and is looking more and more like the player who used to be a staple on the leaderboard at the season’s most difficult Majors.

Next, let’s throw in Englishman Ian Poulter, who’s made five straight cuts on American soil, and finished one shot out of the playoff at the Scottish Open last week.

He fired a blistering 63 on Sunday, and this may be his last chance to make a serious run at the Claret Jug.

Speaking of Englishmen, Tyrrell Hatton will also be looking to be crowned Champion Golfer of the Year on home soil. Hatton has two top-6 results in his past four starts at this event, and has a world class tee-to-green game.

He ranks 17th in this field in ball striking, has gained at least 2.4 strokes with his irons in four of his past five events, and has gained strokes around the green in five straight outings.

Last but not least, is Harris English. The last time we saw him he was raising the trophy at the Travelers Championship, and the start prior to that he finished 3rd at the U.S. Open.

He’s made four of five career cuts at this event and is underpriced in the British Open odds at +7000.

Add it all up, and we’re looking at a handsome +538 parlay if all five of our golfers get through the cutline.

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