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Odds to Make/Miss the Cut at 2019 Open Championship

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Apr 6, 2020 · 8:18 AM PDT

Phil Mickelson walking up to his ball.
Phil Mickelson enters the 2019 Open Championship on a rough stretch of golf. Photo by Corn Farmer (flickr) [CC License].
  • The 148th Open Championship tees off Thursday, July 18th
  • Books have listed odds on which golfers will make the cut and who won’t make the weekend
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best value on either side of this prop

The final major championship of the season is upon us with the 2019 Open Championship (July 18-21) returning to prestigious Royal Portrush for the first time since it hosted the 1951 edition of the tournament.

While everyone is placing their bets on who will win the 2019 Open Championship and hoist the Claret Jug come Sunday evening, there is plenty of money to be made on wagering who will survive to see the weekend and who will slam their car trunk in anger on Friday after two poor days of golf.

2019 Open Championship Odds to Make/Miss the Cut

2019 Open Championship Golfers Odds to Make the Cut Odds to Miss the Cut
Tiger Woods -450 +325
Henrik Stenson -450 +325
Hideki Matsuyama -350 +260
Jordan Spieth -325 +250
Bryson DeChambeau -300 +240
Patrick Reed -240 +190
Sergio Garcia -240 +190
Graeme McDowell -195 +160
Phil Mickelson -170 +140
Bubba Watson -140 +110

*Odds taken 07/16/19. 

Phil Mickelson Trending Towards Missing Cut

The great start to 2019, with a victory at Pebble Beach and a runner-up at the Desert Classic, seems like eons ago for Phil Mickelson. He’s missed four of his last six cuts, though interestingly the two made cuts were at majors, despite him only mustering 52nd & 71st-place results.

With that wild weight loss regime concluded, maybe “Phil will be Phil” and stun us all by playing superb golf. But I just don’t see it.

Stats are facts, and the fact is, in the top six “strokes gained” categories this season, he’s at best 116th in five of them. The lone exception is strokes gained around the greens, where he’s 66th.

Pick: Phil Mickelson Misses Cut (+140)

Hideki Matsuyama Money in the Bank to Make Cut

The PGA Tour leader in consecutive cuts made is none other than Hideki Matsuyama with 25 straight. I’m so bullish on his chances to compete this week that I see Matsuyama as a solid bet to place in the top-5.

Matsuyama has also made the cut in eleven of his last twelve majors, and has 13 top-25 finishes in 18 events this season. This is as close to a sure thing as it gets.

Pick: Hideki Matsuyama Makes Cut (-350)

Bubba Watson Struggles at Open Championship

For a man of such creativity and wizardry, it’s quite baffling that Bubba Watson and the British Open go together like oil and water. In his ten career appearances, he’s missed half the cuts, with his best showing T-23rd in 2012.

He’s also been struggling with his game of late, missing three of five cuts (two in majors), with nothing better than 54th in that span. In addition, Bubba has been dreadful putting this year, ranking 171st. Seems too good to be true, but the bet here is clear.

Pick: Bubba Watson Misses Cut (+110)

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