KBO Picks & Odds (September 10): Hanwha Finally Has Value
- Hanwha is undefeated in its last three, while SK has lost 11 straight
- Lotte’s Dan Straily is 2-0 with a 1.75 ERA vs Samsung this season
- Find odds and best bets for the KBO’s five-game slate on September 10th in the article below
Believe it or not, we’ve finally reached a point in the KBO season where the last place Hanwha Eagles are a screaming value.
Hanwha, who’s undefeated in its last three, enters play Thursday at 5:30 am EST as a home underdog to SK, who’s lost 11 straight.
KBO Odds: Thursday, September 10th
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total at FanDuel | Game Time (Eastern) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doosan Bears | -106 | -1.5 (+146) | Over 9.5 (-128) | 5:30 a.m. |
| KIA Tigers | -116 | +1.5 (-190) | Under 9.5 (+102) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| KT Wiz Suwon | +172 | +1.5 (-112) | Over 11.5 (-120) | 5:30 a.m. |
| NC Dinos | -210 | -1.5 (-112) | Under 11.5 (-106) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Kiwoom Heroes | +150 | +1.5 (-136) | Over 9.5 (-104) | 5:30 a.m. |
| LG Twins | -186 | -1.5 (+108) | Under 9.5 (-122) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| SK Wyverns | -120 | -1.5 (+136) | Over 8.5 (-136) | 5:30 a.m. |
| Hanwha Eagles | -102 | +1.5 (-174) | Under 8.5 (+108) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Samsung Lions | +240 | +1.5 (+112) | Over 8.5 (-130) | 5:30 a.m. |
| Lotte Giants | -310 | -1.5 (-142) | Under 8.5 (+102) |
Odds as of Sept. 9th.
The Eagles haven’t gone undefeated in four straight at any point during 2020, but nevertheless there’s no reason for them to be an underdog against this Wyverns team at this point in the season.
SK Struggling to Stay in Games
SK has allowed 39 runs in its last three games alone. They’ve surrendered at least nine runs in seven contests during their current skid, and have been outscored 107-54 in the process. Yes, they’re 9-4 versus Hanwha season, but have yet to beat Thursday’s starter Warwick Saupold in two tries.
Warwick Saupold with the Opening Day 2-hit shutty!! 9 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB
— Paul Sporer (@sporer) May 5, 2020
Early in the season, Saupold threw a complete game, two-hit shutout against the Wyverns, and back in July held them to three runs over 6 innings in a no-decision. The right-hander didn’t have his best stuff last time out versus KIA, but two starts ago he limited Lotte to one earned run over 7.1 innings.
SK will roll with Jong Hoon park, who’s been rocked in three straight losses. He’s given up 14 runs during that stretch and has made it out of the 5th inning just once. He’s 3-0 against Hanwha this season, but has allowed 10 runs in 16 innings of work.
Pick: Hanwha Eagles moneyline (-102)
Straily Owns Samsung
Dan Straily was a difference maker again in his last start, holding KIA to one run and four hits over 7 innings in a Giants victory. He’s won three consecutive starts and is perfect versus Samsung in 2020.
Dan Straily got back on track today, netting 15 whiffs over 7 IP against Kia, allowing just 1 run. Here are some of his best from the evening, two sliders and a curveball that Preston Tucker had no chance at #KBO #KBOLeague pic.twitter.com/p8CtRUVo2K
— Ben Howell (he/him) (@benhowell71) September 4, 2020
Three weeks ago, he threw 6 shutout innings in a win over the Lions, and in their previous meeting he allowed just a single run in another victory. He leads the KBO in strikeouts and K/9, while ranking second in FIP and kFIP.
Straily vs Samsung This Season
| Date | IP | R | H | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 23rd | 6.0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| July 19th | 6.0 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| June 26th | 7.1 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| May 26th | 6.1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
The Lotte offense has scored at least seven runs in three of its past five, and have fared well against Lions starter Dae Woo Kim in the past. The Giants roughed up Kim for seven hits and four runs in his only start against them this season, and the right-hander is fresh off a defeat against Hanwha. In that outing, he failed to make it out of the 5th inning, which isn’t especially uncommon. Kim has lasted less than 5 innings in three of seven starting assignments in 2020 and has posted just one quality start.
Pick: Lotte Giants -1.5 (-142)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
