Upcoming Match-ups

Astros vs Twins Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers (April 8)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 7, 2023 · 6:34 PM PDT

Twins celebrating win over Astros
Apr 7, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins third baseman Kyle Farmer (12) is congratulated by catcher Christian Vazquez (8) and center fielder Byron Buxton (25) after hitting the game winning hit as Houston Astros first baseman David Hensley (17) walks off the field at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Minnesota Twins are slight -115 home favorites over the Houston Astros in their American League game slated for Saturday, April 8
  • Houston is 7-2 straight up in the last nine games against Minnesota
  • The 3-5 Astros have played entirely against AL Central opposition so far this season

As they prepare for the second game of their three-game set against the Minnesota Twins (5-2), the Houston Astros (3-5) have probably had their fill of the AL Central Division.

The reigning World Series champions are opening the season with 10 straight games against AL Central opponents and it’s not going well.

They split a four-game set with the Chicago White Sox. Then Houston dropped two of three at home to the Detroit Tigers. Friday, they were 3-2 losers to the Twins in the opener of this series.

Astros vs Twins Odds

Team Run Line Total Moneyline
Houston Astros +1.5 (-195) O 7.5 (-110) -105
Minnesota Twins +1.5 (+162) U 7.5 (-110) -115

Oddsmakers are expecting things to get worse on Saturday. It’s Minnesota that is set as slight -115 home favorites. The Astros were 26-8 SU against the AL Central last season.

First pitch on Saturday, April 8 at Target Field is set for 2:10pm ET. Houston was 6-0 SU against the Twins in 2022.

 

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The MLB public betting splits on this game are favoring the Astros in the spread splits. Houston is drawing support from 87% of handle and 51% of bets. The moneyline splits are showing a difference of opinion among the people. There’s 52% of handle with the hometown Twins, while 58% of bets are backing the visiting Astros.

When it comes to the total of 7.5 runs, again there is public opinion division. The under is liked by 53% of handle. However the over is garnering 67% of bets. Friday’s 3-2 Twins victory was ending a six-game run of overs for the Astros. Minnesota is 2-4-1 on the total this season.

As defending champions, it comes as no surprise that the Astros are the +400 chalk in the World Series odds. The Twins are the co-15th choice in this betting market at +4000.

Odds as of April 7 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Ryan Solid In First Outing

Continuing on from what was a strong spring training performance, Twins right-hander Joe Ryan was solid in his first start of the season. He allowed three hits and one earned run on a solo homer over six innings, getting the win in a 7-4 verdict over the Kansas City Royals.

Ryan posted a 2.16 ERA in five spring starts. He also won his last three decisions of 2022. Ryan didn’t allow a run in any of those victories, a span covering 20.2 innings pitched.

Garcia vs Ryan

Luis Garcia
VS
Joe Ryan
0-1 Record 1-0
5.40 ERA 1.50
4.65 xERA 3.08
1.80 WHIP 0.83
2.00 SO/W 3.00

Astros right-hander Luis Garcia wasn’t as impressive for openers. He was roughed up for seven hits and three earned runs over five innings.

Taking the loss in a 6-3 setback to the White Sox, Garcia’s 5.40 ERA is right around the 4.66 ERA he posted during spring training. The loss ended a personal seven game winning streak for Garcia.

Pena Roughed Up Ryan

Astros shortstop Jeremy Ryan drove in a pair of runs off Ryan last May 10 in a 5-0 Houston victory. He’s 1-for-2 (.500) when facing Ryan, as are first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Alex Bregman.

Astros vs Twins Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Run Line Total
08/06/2021 HOU 4 MIN 5 MIN MIN Push
08/07/2021 HOU 4 MIN 0 HOU HOU Under
08/08/2021 HOU 5 MIN 7 MIN MIN Over
05/10/2022 MIN 0 HOU 5 HOU HOU Under
05/11/2022 MIN 3 HOU 11 HOU HOU Over
05/12/2022 MIN 0 HOU 5 HOU HOU Under
08/23/2022 HOU 4 MIN 2 HOU HOU Under
08/24/2022 HOU 5 MIN 3 HOU HOU Push
08/25/2022 HOU 6 MIN 3 HOU HOU Over
04/07/2023 MIN 3 HOU 2 MIN HOU Under

Minnesota second baseman Nick Gordon is 3-for-6 (.500) off of Garcia. Twins catcher Christian Vazquez is 2-for-5 (.400) with an RBI.

Astros vs Twins Pick & Prediction

Garcia was 2-0 against the Twins last season, including a 5-0 victory May 12 at Target Field. He’s 3-1 with a 2.66 ERA in four career starts facing Minnesota. However, Garcia is just 1-1 with a 2.89 in two starts at Target Field.

Ryan is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in one prior start against Houston. That was at Target Field, where the Twins are 2-7 SU in the last nine games vs Houston.

Pick: Houston Astros ML (-105)

 

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