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Blue Jays’ World Series Odds as Short as +2200 After Springer Signing

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Jan 20, 2021 · 3:34 PM PST

George Springer at first base
Houston Astros' George Springer takes a lead off first during the first inning of the team's baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas. Springer became the most prominent among baseball’s free agents to reach an agreement, a $150 million, six-year contract with the Toronto Blue Jays, a person familiar with the negotiations told The Associated Press. The person spoke on condition of anonymity Tuesday night, Jan. 19, 20201, because the deal was subject to a successful physical. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez, File)
  • The odds of the Toronto Blue Jays winning the 2021 World Series shortened to +2200 from +2667
  • Toronto signed free agent outfielder George Springer to a six-year, $150 million contract
  • The Jays also added closer Kirby Yates, the 2019 NL saves leader

Wednesday’s announcement that the Toronto Blue Jays were signing free agent outfielder George Springer has people in Toronto talking World Series. Such talk doesn’t seem unreasonable, to be honest.

Agreeing with Springer on the richest contract in Blue Jays history – six years and $150 million – and making arguably the most significant addition of the MLB offseason, Toronto management put the rest of the baseball world on notice that Canada’s team isn’t playing around.

The oddsmakers also took notice. The move led to the 2021 World Series odds on the Blue Jays, which were at an average of 2667 last week, improve to +2200 at some books.

2021 World Series Odds

Team Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers +450
New York Yankees +550
San Diego Padres +800
Chicago White Sox +900
Atlanta Braves +1100
New York Mets +1200
Tampa Bay Rays +1400
Minnesota Twins +1400
Houston Astros +1700
Oakland Athletics +1700
Cincinnati Reds +2000
Toronto Blue Jays +2200
Cleveland Indians +2800
Chicago Cubs +3000
St. Louis Cardinals 3300

Odds as of Jan. 20th at Bet365.

Even with the improvement in their betting line, the Jays’ odds equate to 4.35% implied probability that they’ll win the World Series. Toronto remains the 12th-overall betting choice and seventh among American League teams.

The Springer Show

In Springer, the Blue Jays are adding an elite defensive centerfielder. He’s also a hitter with pop in his bat and an established reputation for delivering in the clutch.

Springer has delivered an OPS+ of 140 or higher in three of the last four seasons. He shows a 138 wRC+ since 2017. In 2019, Springer’s 6.4 WAR was among the top 10 in the American League

Those numbers put him in the same ballpark alongside such stars as Bryce Harper and Mookie Betts. Springer is a three-time all-star and was World Series MVP in 2017.

It’s in the postseason when Springer truly shines. His 19 homers and 2.4 WPA are both sixth all-time in MLB history. Springer’s playoff OPS of .895 is higher than his regular-season number of .852.

Blue Jays Miss Out On Brantley

Toronto hoped to add Springer’s friend outfielder Michael Brantley, but there were reports Wednesday afternoon that he’s agreed to a two-year deal to remain in Houston.

Nonetheless, putting Springer into a batting order that includes budding young talent such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette, Lourdes Gurriel Jr, and Cavan Biggio provides the Jays with a deep lineup.

Toronto also signed closer Kirby Yates. With San Diego in 2019, Yates led the NL with 41 saves and posted a 1.19 ERA. Word is Toronto is still looking to add a starting pitcher.

Entering The Wayback Machine

The Blue Jays winning the World Series? It would just add another chapter to the wayback machine that’s been unfolding across the sporting landscape over the past year.

The Los Angeles Dodgers won their first World Series since 1988. Over to the NFL, the Cleveland Browns won their first playoff game since 1994-95 and the Buffalo Bills are in the AFC Championship Game for the first time since 1993-94.

The Jays won back-to-back World Series in 1992-93. Looking at the AL East, the starting rotation of the New York Yankees is Gerrit Cole, injury-idled Corey Kluber and three pitchers to be named later. The small-market Tampa Bay Rays are always in a state of flux.

The Jays could win this division. At the very least, they should be a Wild Card team. Word is they’re still looking to add pitching.

Sure, they’re a longshot to win the World Series. At that price, with their untapped potential, it’s worth a small wager.

Pick: Toronto Blue Jays (+2200)

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