Braves vs Dodgers Game 4 Odds, Betting LInes, and Probable Pitchers
- The Dodgers are -200 home favorites over the Braves in NLCS Game 4 on Wednesday night
- Lefty Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96) will start for the Dodgers against Huascar Ynoa (4-6, 4.05)
- The matchups and odds can be found below with a prediction
The Los Angeles Dodgers will try to draw even in the National League Championship Series when they host the Atlanta Braves in Game 4 at 8:08 pm ET, Wednesday, at Dodger Stadium.
With a come-from-behind 6-5 win in Game 3 on Tuesday, the Dodgers got back into the series and now trail 2-1 in the best-of-seven affair.
The Braves (93-75, 47-37 road) had won five games in a row and were on the verge of taking a 3-0 led in the series. However, they were unable to hold a 5-2 lead in the eighth inning.
The Dodgers (111-60, 61-24 home) avoided their first three-game losing streak since July 21-23. Los Angeles is favored in Game 4, which will be televised by TBS.
Braves vs Dodgers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | +168 | +1.5 (-122) | Over 8.5 (-104) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -200 | -1.5 (+102) | Under 8.5 (-118) |
Odds as of October 20th at DraftKings.
Probable Pitchers
The Braves are expected to have right-hander Huascar Ynoa (4-6, 4.05 regular season) either open or be a bulk innings pitcher in a bullpen game. The Dodgers will counter with left-hander Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96), who led the major leagues in wins during the regular season.
Ynoa’s last start came Oct. 1 during the final weekend of the regular season. He has pitched only once in the postseason, giving up two runs in one inning of relief against the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 4 of the National League Division Series on Oct. 12.
Ynoa vs Urias
| 4-6 | Record | 20-3 |
| 4.05 | ERA | 2.96 |
| 4.30 | xERA | 3.12 |
| 1.11 | WHIP | 1.01 |
| 4.00 | SO/W | 5.13 |
Ynoa has not won since May 9 against the Philadelphia Phillies. He spent nearly three months on the injured list with a fractured right hand from May 17-Aug. 16 and then went 0-5 with a 5.51 ERA in his last 10 regular-season starts.
In 17 starts this year, Ynoa has registered six quality ones but none in his last six outings. The Braves have gone 9-8 in those starts.
Huascar Ynoa, K'ing the Side. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/m0zrN8fhOi
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) October 1, 2021
Ynoa has struggled on the road with a 1-3 record and 5.49 ERA in nine games (eight starts) but is 4-4 with a 2.88 ERA at night in 15 games (14 starts).
Ynoa was outstanding the lone time he has faced the Dodgers in his career, pitching four scoreless innings of relief in last year’s NLCS. He has made two career postseason appearances, both out of the bullpen, surrendering two runs in five innings.
Urias made a relief appearance of 2021 in Game 2 in Atlanta on Sunday and suffered a blown save when he gave up two runs in one inning. He will start Game 4 with just two days of rest following a 14-pitch outing.
Urias is 12-0 with a 2.03 ERA in his last 18 starts since losing to the Padres on June 21 in San Diego. He is 7-1 with a 3.27 in 14 starts at Dodger Stadium and 13-2 with a 3.26 ERA at night in 25 games (23 starts).
Julio Urias throwing GAS pic.twitter.com/zXUBjgPlTq
— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) October 15, 2021
Of Urias’ 33 starts this season, 13 have been quality starts. The Dodgers are 27-6 when he starts.
Urias has pitched against the Braves three times this year, including two regular season starts, and is 2-0 with a 3.75 ERA. His career record is also 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in five games (three starts).
In the postseason, Urias is 7-2 with a 2.96 ERA in 21 games (four starts).
Limited History with Ynoa
Other than second baseman Trea Turner, no other Dodgers hitter has more than two career plate appearances against Ynoa. Turner has gone 2 for 11 with a double.
Batting Averages vs Starting Pitchers
| Braves Batters | Batting Average vs Urias | Dodgers Batters | Batting Average vs Ynoa |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras | .500 | Trea Turner | .222 |
| Cristian Pache | .333 | Cody Bellinger | .000 |
| Eddie Rosario | .333 | Will Smith | .000 |
| Freddie Freeman | .273 | Chris Taylor | .000 |
| Ozzie Albies | .250 | Austin Barnes | .000 |
| Ehire Adrianza | .250 | Mookie Betts | .000 |
| Austin Riley | .222 | Corey Seager | .000 |
| Adam Duvall | .200 | Justin Turner | .000 |
| Orlando Arcia | .167 | ||
| Dansby Swanson | .000 | ||
| Travis d’Arnaud | .000 | ||
| Guillermo Heredia | .000 | ||
| Johan Camargo | .000 | ||
| Joc Pederson | .000 |
Braves first baseman Freddie Freeman has hit two home runs off Urias while going 3 for 11. After going 0 for 8 with seven strikeouts in the first two games of the series, the 2020 NL MVP went 3 for 4 on Tuesday.
MADNESS!!! I’ve never seen Freddie Freeman so happy. #Postseason pic.twitter.com/oZrRwNqUfo
— Paul Byrd (@PaulByrd36) October 13, 2021
Shortstop Dansby Swanson is hitless in six at-bats against Urias.
Braves vs Dodgers Pick
The Dodgers have won 10 straight games against the Braves at Dodger Stadium, including four this year. Atlanta is also 3-20 in its last 23 games at Chavez Ravine.
The Dodgers’ season was seemingly hanging by a threat in Game 3 until they erupted for four runs in the eighth to turn a 5-2 deficit into a 6-5 win. Cody Bellinger’s three-run home run tied it and Mookie Betts doubled in the go-ahead run.
Chills. pic.twitter.com/AKcC4NPXvB
— Los Angeles Dodgers (@Dodgers) October 20, 2021
Momentum is a fickle thing in the postseason and the Dodgers have suddenly regained it. Looks for them to even up the series in a high-scoring game between two overtaxed pitching staffs
The Picks: Dodgers moneyline (-200); Over 8.5 (-104)
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
