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Cardinals vs Reds Odds, Lines, and Pick – April 4

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 3, 2021 · 8:45 PM PDT

St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds Brawl
St. Louis Cardinals' Nolan Arenado, center left, reacts alongside teammate catcher Yadier Molina, center, as they scrum with members of the Cincinnati Reds during the fourth inning of a baseball game in Cincinnati, Saturday, April 3, 2021. (AP Photo/Aaron Doster)
  • The Cincinnati Reds (1-1) host the St. Louis Cardinals (1-1) on Sunday
  • Carlos Martinez and Jeff Hoffman are listed as the starting pitchers
  • Read below for a preview and best bets for the game

It’s always fun to watch the game after a bench clearing altercation.

The Cardinals and Reds got into it on Saturday afternoon after Nick Castellanos lost his cool at home plate. Ultimately it ended without too much drama, but it set the table for the third game in the series on Sunday.

Cardinals vs Reds Odds

Team Moneyline Run Line at FanDuel Total
St. Louis Cardinals -106 -1.5 (+150) O 9.5 (-118)
Cincinnati Reds -110 +1.5 (-182) U 9.5 (-104)

Odds as of April 3rd

Will there be any scores to be settled on Sunday? Quite possibly. But there’s also a game to be played and money to be made. Let’s take a look at three players to help settle on the best value bet on the board when it comes to the Cardinals vs Reds odds.

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Arenado Adds Big Bat To Cardinals Lineup

When St. Louis acquired Nolan Arenado from the Colorado Rockies they knew exactly what they were getting. He’s one of the premier players in the game on both offense and defense. In the last full season, he launched 41 home runs with 118 RBI. Of course it’s a small sample size, but after two games with the Cardinals he’s hitting .400 with a home run and three RBI.

In addition to the raw numbers, Arenado helps the batters around him in the lineup. Paul Goldschmidt is seeing more pitches to hit with Arenado on deck and the players lower in the lineup can’t be pitched around with runners on base. Expect Arenado to play a major factor, especially against a starting pitcher that doesn’t have much to offer in the way of elite stuff.

Surprising To See Hoffman In Starting Rotation

Few pitchers have had the run Jeff Hoffman has over the last five seasons. To be clear, that’s not meant to be a compliment. His last five ERAs are 9.28, 6.56, 9.35, 5.89 and 4.88. There’s no evidence to suggest that Hoffman has the ability to navigate his way through the tough Cardinals lineup.

Cardinals Career Stats vs Hoffman

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG
Tommy Edman 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Paul Goldschmidt 7 4 0 1 0 .571
Nolan Arenado 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Paul DeJong 3 1 1 2 1 .333
Tyler O’Neill 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Yadier Molina 2 1 0 0 0 .500
Dylan Carlson 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Justin Williams 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Carlos Martinez 0 0 0 0 0 .200

The first two games in this series have seen the teams combine for 32 runs. While it’s never smart to overreact to early season trends, it’s clear both offenses have started off hot. The only positive for Hoffman is the entire Cardinals lineup has only combined for 12 at bats against him. He may have a slight advantage his first time through the order, but it’s likely to even out as the batters see him a second time.

Martinez Looking To Bounce Back After Tough Year

Carlos Martinez had five starts last season and finished 0-3 with a 9.90 ERA and 2.10 WHIP. Who would have thought Hoffman would have the better numbers from last year with his sterling 9.28 ERA? The reality is there’s a track record of success from Martinez, but it’s still hard to trust him considering it’s been two calendar years since we last saw him pitching at an elite level.

Reds Career Stats vs Martinez

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG
Jesse Winker 10 6 0 4 1 .600
Nick Castellanos 6 1 0 0 4 .167
Joey Votto 29 4 1 4 5 .138
Eugenio Suarez 24 8 0 4 11 .333
Mike Moustakas 5 2 1 1 1 .400
Tucker Barnhart 14 4 0 3 3 .286
Jonathan India 0 0 0 0 0 .000
Tyler Naquin 2 0 0 0 1 .000
Jeff Hoffman 0 0 0 0 0 .200

The Reds have seen a lot of Martinez during his career and they’ve had varying degrees of success. Jesse Winker has been the most impressive member of the Reds against Martinez, racking up four RBI and a .600 AVG in 10 at bats. Martinez won’t have the same surprise factor as Hoffman in the early going with most of the Reds lineup having a sizable history with him.

The Over 2-0 In Series So Far

The Over is sitting at 9.5 for the series finale and that’s the best play on the board. The previous two games both went over the number and Sunday should be no different. Hot hitters against pitchers searching for answers, the play is bet on the two offenses.

The Bet: Over 9.5 Runs (-118)


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