D-Backs vs Rockies Odds, Lines and Spread – Aug 12
- The Arizona Diamondbacks are road favorites against the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday (Aug. 12, 3:10 pm EST)
- Luke Weaver (0-3, 12.19 ERA) will start for Arizona, while Colorado will counter with Antonio Senzatela (3-0, 2.65 ERA)
- Read below for a preview and betting prediction for the game
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies close out their three-game set Wednesday at 3:10 pm EST, in the thin rocky mountain air. Neither team was expected to compete for a playoff spot this year, and while Arizona has held up its end of the bargain, Colorado is off a surprising start.
Another series win. This team is so much fun! pic.twitter.com/PxIfeJpohC
— Colorado Rockies 😷 (@Rockies) August 9, 2020
The Rockies entered play Tuesday with 11 wins, tied with the LA Dodgers for most in the NL West.
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondbacks | -108 | -1.5 (+130) | Over 11.5 (-118) |
| Colorado Rockies | -102 | +1.5 (-150) | Under 11.5 (-102) |
Odds taken Aug. 11th
Surprisingly though, it’s Arizona, not Colorado who opened up as the favorite in the Diamondbacks vs Rockies odds. The D-Backs took game one of the series 12-8 on Monday, winning for the third time in five outings. Colorado meanwhile, dropped its second straight, after winning seven of its previous eight games.
Can Senzatela Silence Arizona?
One of the many bright spots so far for the Rockies has been number three starter Antonio Senzatela. The 25-year-old has won each of his first three starts, allowing two earned runs or less in each outing.
Rockies right-hander Antonio Senzatela has a 2.65 ERA (17 IP, 5 ER) in his first three games, posting two quality starts.
— Rockies Club Information (@RockiesClubInfo) August 8, 2020
He’s held opposing batters to a .224 average, and his 19.4% strikeout rate is the highest of his career. He hasn’t fared well against Arizona in the past, but this year’s Diamondbacks squad is struggling offensively. Even after crossing the plate 12 times in the series opener, Arizona is only averaging four runs per game. They’ve scored 20 fewer runs than Colorado, and only the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring runs at a lower rate.
Diamondbacks Career Stats vs Senzatela
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Young | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Ketel Marte | 14 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .500 |
| Starling Marte | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .600 |
| David Peralta | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .143 |
| Christian Walker | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .375 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .286 |
| Carson Kelly | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Tim Locastro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Nick Ahmed | 17 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | .412 |
Weaver Has Been Woeful
The D-Backs will counter with Luke Weaver, who’s off to a very shaky start in 2020. He’s allowed 14 runs in his three starts so far, and has yet to make it out of the 5th inning. Weaver was pulled after just three innings in his last outing and appears to have lost the confidence of manager Torey Lovullo.
This is an odd explanation for why Luke Weaver was removed after 3 innings. Kind of sounds like they didn’t want to hurt his confidence by letting him go back out there and struggle in the 4th or 5th innings, like he’s done in other starts. Still, a weird explanation. #Dbacks https://t.co/jH1vsBaGAA
— Cody Fincher (@Bear987FM) August 8, 2020
One of the big problems for him through three starts has been his inability to keep the ball in the yard. He’s allowed five home runs in just 10.1 innings, and that spells trouble with a start at Coors Field on deck.
Charlie Blackmon, who is 3-for-3 tonight, is now hitting .484 in bid to become first player to hit .400 since Ted Williams in 1941. #Rockies
— Bob Nightengale (@BNightengale) August 11, 2020
The Rockies are hitting an MLB best .270 and have already homered 22 times in 17 games. No player has been hotter than Charlie Blackmon, who currently leads all of baseball in average (.484), hits (31) and RBI (19). Blackmon has a strong history against Weaver, as does fellow slugger Nolan Arenado.
Rockies Career Stats vs Weaver
| Player | AB | H | HR | RBI | K | AVG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Hampson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Trevor Story | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .500 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .429 |
| Nolan Arenado | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | .500 |
| Daniel Murphy | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
| Ryan McMahon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 |
| David Dahl | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Matt Kemp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 |
| Tony Wolters | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 |
Another short outing for Weaver is likely in the cards, which will put extra pressure on Arizona’s 25th ranked bullpen.
Roll With the Rockies
This game is basically a pick’em at online sportsbooks, but the numbers tell a very different story. Colorado is far superior team, with a more powerful offense and a stronger starting pitcher in this matchup.
Today’s going to be our day. pic.twitter.com/ZzVaqQMfvY
— Colorado Rockies 😷 (@Rockies) August 12, 2020
They also have the advantage of playing at home, which historically has been very kind to them and to Rockies bettors. Since 2010, Colorado has a 57.6% winning percentage as a home favorite at Coors Field.
Pick: Colorado Rockies moneyline (-102)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
