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Dodgers vs Brewers Picks & Odds (Aug 18)

Blair Johnson

by Blair Johnson in MLB Baseball

Aug 17, 2022 · 8:37 PM PDT

Max Muncy hits a solo home run
Los Angeles Dodgers third baseman Max Muncy (13) hits a solo home run during the seventh inning inning of their game against the Milwaukee Brewers Wednesday, August 17, 2022 at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wis. Brewers17 10
  • The LA Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers face off at American Family Field on Thursday, August 18th
  • The Dodgers have the best record in baseball, while the Brewers are in a dogfight with the Cardinals for the NL Central
  • Read below for the Dodgers vs Brewers odds and betting preview

The LA Dodgers (record) face the Milwaukee Brewers (record) on Thursday at American Family Field in the finale of a four-game series between a pair of old postseason rivals. First pitch of 2:10 pm ET. Dave Roberts’ club will send Andrew Heaney to the mound, while Craig Counsell’s group counters with Corbin Burnes.

Dodgers vs Brewers Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+143) -115 Ov 7.5 (-110)
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 (-170) -105 Un 7.5 (-110)

Odds as of August 17th at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook promo code

 

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Los Angeles vs Milwaukee Probable Pitchers

The 31-year-old Heaney has had two extended stays on the injured list this season due to left shoulder inflammation. The most recent stint saw him miss 28 games between June and July after missing 53 games between April and June. He’s been outstanding in four starts since July 27th, going 15.2 innings with a 1.72 ERA — but is still being stretched out. He has yet to toss more than 81 pitches in any of those outings or get past the fourth inning.

After getting drilled by a 106 MPH line drive to the bicep off the bat of Bobby Witt Jr, Heaney closed out the inning with a pair of strikeouts and was lifted early for precautionary reasons, but he’s back in the MLB lineups for Wednesday.

Meantime, reigning NL Cy Young Award-winner Burnes hasn’t been as dominant as he was in 2021 — but he’s still been highly effective. The Brew Crew are 14-9 in the 27-year-old’s 2022 turns, with 17 of those being quality starts.

Burnes has been lights out in his last two appearances, tossing 13 innings and allowing only a pair of earned runs while walking only two and striking out 15.

Heaney vs Burnes Stats

Andrew Heaney
VS
Corbin Burnes
1-0 Record 8-5
1.16 ERA 2.39
2.85 xERA 2.78
32.3% K% 32.3%

Following a 12-game win streak that saw them win every game by multiple runs, the Dodgers have come back to earth offensively a bit. LA has scored 10 runs over the last four games — compared to putting up 39 over the previous four games before that. Despite those doldrums at the plate, the club has gone 2-2 over the stretch. But Roberts still benched Cody Bellinger. The former NL Rookie of the Year and MVP is batting .206 with 16 homers and 50 RBIs. Meantime, Max Muncy — who is hitting an even worse .187 — was the offensive hero in Wednesday’s 2-1 victory.

Of course, when you have Trea Turner and Freddie Freeman engaged in a battle for being MLB’s Hit Leader (the pair are tied at 144 heading into Thursday’s tilt), the Boys in Blue can compensate for Bellinger and Muncy’s struggles. Plus, Mookie Betts (who’s slashing .271/.343/.533 and playing his usual stellar defense) is a top contender for the 2022 NL MVP award.

Victor Caratini was Milwaukee’s hero on Tuesday night, smacking a two-run single off Dodgers closer Craig Kimbrel in the 11th inning for a 5-4 walk-off win.

Counsell’s group is 12-11 since the break and are fully engaged in a pennant race with St. Louis for the division. The Brewers bats have been scuffling, though. The group has not scored more than five runs in a game since August 3rd, going 5-8 in that timeframe.

The Brewers currently have +4000 odds to win the Fall Classic, while the Dodgers have been installed as +350 favorites in the World Series odds.

LAD vs MIL Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/17/22 Brewers Dodgers LAD, 2-1
8/16/22 Brewers Dodgers MIL, 5-4
8/15/22 Brewers Dodgers LAD, 4-0
10/3/21 Dodgers Brewers LAD, 10-3
10/2/21 Dodgers Brewers LAD, 8-3
10/1/21 Dodgers Brewers LAD, 8-6
5/2/21 Brewers Dodgers LAD, 16-4
5/1/21 Brewers Dodgers MIL, 6-5
4/30/21 Brewers Dodgers MIL, 3-1
4/29/21 Brewers Dodgers MIL, 2-1

Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction

LA has been dominant against the NL Central, going 7-0 vs. Chicago, 7-0 vs. Cincinnati, 2-1 vs. St. Louis, 2-1 against Milwaukee and 1-5 vs. last-place Pittsburgh.

But with Burnes on the bump and hoping to salvage a split, I like the home team in this spot.

Pick: Brewers ML (-105)

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