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Washington Nationals vs NY Mets: Preview & Prediction

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Updated Apr 7, 2018 · 10:59 PM PDT

Bryce Harper rounding second
Washington CF Bryce Harper is batting just .069 against Mets starter Matt Harvey. Photo by Johnmaxmena2 [CC License].

The Mickey Callaway era is off to a roaring start in New York as the first-year manager has the Mets at 6-1 just over a week into the 2018 season. Tonight (8:00 PM ET, Sunday, April 8), New York will send the “Dark Knight,” Matt Harvey, to the hill looking to sweep Tanner Roark and the reigning division champion Washington Nationals, who have followed a four-game season-opening win streak with four straight losses.

Will the Mets stay scorching hot or will the Nats stem their losing streak? Get the early odds, statistical comparison, betting trends, weather forecast, and score prediction below.

Opening Odds

MONEYLINE RUNLINE O/U RUNS
METS (+133) METS +1.5 (-160) OVER 8.0 (-116)
NATIONALS (-143) NATIONALS -1.5 (+140) UNDER 8.0 (-104)

Despite trending in opposite directions, Washington opened as a significant favorite at home, where they have yet to win this year. Roark was excellent in his first start of the season, going seven strong and giving up just four hits and one earned run in an 8-1 win over Atlanta, but he was the weakest part of the rotation last year, sporting an ERA well over four (4.67) and a 1.33 WHIP.

Though he only worked five innings, Matt Harvey was equally impressive in his first start, surrendering just one hit, one walk, and no runs en route to a 2-0 win against the Phillies. The only concern was his velocity, which was mired in the low 90s. Still, it was a promising salvo for the former Cy Young winner after his disaster of a 2017, which saw him post an ERA approaching seven (6.70) in 18 starts.

Team Stats

NATIONALS
VS
METS
4-4 (0-2 Home) RECORD 6-1 (2-0 Away)
 Tanner Roark: 1-0, 1.29 ERA  PROBABLE STARTER Matt Harvey: 0-0, 0.00 ERA
 .215 BA, .684 OPS LINEUP VS OPPONENT STARTER .254 BA, .794 OPS
 6.86 ERA BULLPEN ERA  1.16 ERA
 .797 TEAM OPS (On-Base + Slugging %) .793
13-8  2017 + 2018 HEAD-TO-HEAD 8-13

Betting Results & Trends

NATIONALS  TREND METS
 Lost 4 WIN/LOSS STREAK Won 4
 1-4 LAST 5 4-1
 3-5 RUNLINE RECORD 6-1
 4-2-2 OVER/UNDER SPLIT 3-4
Under 1 OVER/UNDER STREAK  Under 1

 

The Mets took the second of the three-game series yesterday morning, 3-2, extending their win streak to four games.

YouTube video

Weather Forecast at Opening Pitch

TEMPERATURE 46°
HUMIDITY 27%
WIND SPEED  NW 11MPH (in from left field)
P.O.P. 0%

 

Score Prediction

METS 4
NATIONALS 6

It would be nice to think that Harvey is back to his Cy Young form, but the velocity numbers indicate otherwise. Washington’s bats, which started the year en fuego (33 runs in first six games), will wake up from the current drought (five runs in last three games), and both these teams will regress to their own means.

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