Mets vs Astros Odds, Picks & Predictions (June 22)
- The Astros are -129 home favorites over the Mets on Wednesday
- Carlos Carrasco (8-2, 3.96) will pitch for New York against Luis Garcia (4-5, 3.41)
- A look at the Mets vs Astros odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The Houston Astros will look to sweep a two-game series from the visiting New York Mets at 2:10 pm ET Wednesday in a matchup of division leaders at Minute Maid Park.
The American League West-leading Astros (42-25, 19-11 home) have won five of their last six games, including beating the Mets 8-2 on Tuesday night. The Mets (45-25, 21-15 road), who are in first place in the National League East, have lost two of their last three games.
Mets vs Astros Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | +110 | +1.5 (-200) | Over 8.5 (-110) |
| Houston Astros | -129 | -1.5 (+160) | Under 8.5 (-107) |
Odds as of June 21st at Barstool Sportsbook.
SPORTSBOOK
Bet $5 on MLB & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly!
The Astros are -129 favorites giving them an implied win probability of 56.33%.
Both teams are high in the World Series odds as Houston is the third choice at +650 and New York the fourth choice at +700 after the co-favored Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Yankees at +450.
The Minute Maid Park roof will likely be closed as the high temperature is forecast to be 97 degrees along with a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms.
NYM vs HOU Probable Pitchers
Carlos Carrasco (8-2, 3.96) is scheduled to start for the Mets against Luis Garcia (4-5, 3.41). Carrasco, who has +8000 NL Cy Young odds, will be pitching on four days of rest and Garcia on six.
Carrasco vs Garcia
| 8-2 | Record | 4-5 |
| 3.96 | ERA | 3.41 |
| 3.45 | xERA | 3.57 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 1.03 |
| 4.69 | SO/W | 3.83 |
Carrasco has been winning regularly as he is 7-1 with a 3.74 ERA in his last nine starts. He beat the Miami Marlins last Friday in New York when he gave up three runs and eight hits in 6.1 innings with seven strikeouts and two walks.
The cancer survivor is an even better guy.
Reason number 6,986 why Carlos Carrasco is a great human being. #metstwitter pic.twitter.com/S3o1QKqH1D
— Manny S. (@MMS0272) June 17, 2022
In 10 career games (nine starts) against the Astros, Carrasco has a 4-4 record and 3.66 ERA. He is 2-3 with a 2.06 ERA in five starts at Minute Maid Park.
Carrasco is 3-2 with a 5.18 ERA in six road starts this season. In the daytime, he is 4-1 with a 3.22 ERA in eight starts.
Garcia ended a five-start winless streak last Wednesday against the Texas Rangers in Arlington. He allowed two runs (one earned) on four hits in six innings while striking out nine and walking none.
Garcia also threw an immaculate innings, striking out the side on nine pitches, as did teammate Phil Maton.
Martín Maldonado catches two immaculate innings, from Luis García in the second and Phil Maton in the seventh. First time two in the same game in Major League history. pic.twitter.com/asOF92HDrA
— Mark Berman (@MarkBermanFox26) June 15, 2022
This will be Garcia’s first career appearance against the Mets.
Garcia is 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA at home this year in five starts. In six starts in day game, he has a 2-2 record and a 2.75 ERA.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Garcia |
|---|---|
| Mark Canha | .500 |
| Astros Batters | Batting Average vs Carrasco |
| Jose Altuve | .379 |
| Michael Brantley | .333 |
| Yuli Gurriel | .333 |
| Jason Castro | .286 |
| Alex Bregman | .200 |
| Aledmys Diaz | .000 |
| Mauricio Dubon | .000 |
| Martin Maldonado | .000 |
Mark Canha is the only Mets’ batter who has faced Garcia. The left fielder is 2 for 4 with a home run.
The Astros’ Jose Altuve has hit .379 (11 of 29) off Carrasco with one homer.
Mets vs Astros Betting Outlook
Kyle Tucker’s three-run double highlighted a four-run fifth inning that gave the Astros a 7-0 and they then coasted over the Mets on Tuesday night.
The King of Queens. pic.twitter.com/kgw7dlEqZL
— Houston Astros (@astros) June 22, 2022
Altuve, Yordan Alvarez and Jose Siri all homered for Houston. Michael Brantley and Alex Bregman had two hits each.
Astros shortstop Aledmys Diaz (left shoulder discomfort), who has been filling for injured rookie Jeremy Pena, is questionable after sitting two straight games.
Alvarez (sore right hand) returned to the lineup after missing one game.
The Mets’ Pete Alonso went 3 for 3 with a home run and a walk, and has +1000 NL MVP odds. Eduardo Escobar also went deep for New York.
Mets second baseman Jeff McNeil (right hamstring tightness) is day-to-day after being injured Monday. He sat out Tuesday’s game.
Jeff McNeil says the MRI on his hamstring showed "nothing" and got on the team bus right after getting the MRI yesterday pic.twitter.com/BSuUx7gIpt
— SNY (@SNYtv) June 21, 2022
The Astros have won nine of 13 games from the Mets since 2012.
Mets vs Astros Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6/21/22 | Astros | Mets | HOU, 8-2 |
| 9/3/17 | Astros | Mets | HOU, 8-6 |
| 9/2/17 (2) | Astros | Mets | HOU, 4-1 |
| 9/2/17 (1) | Astros | Mets | HOU, 12-8 |
| 9/28/14 | Mets | Astros | NYM, 8-3 |
| 9/27/14 | Mets | Astros | NYM, 2-1 |
| 9/26/14 | Mets | Astros | HOU, 3-1 |
| 8/26/12 | Mets | Astros | NYM, 2-1 |
| 8/25/12 | Mets | Astros | NYM, 3-1 |
| 8/24/12 | Mets | Astros | HOU, 3-1 |
Mets vs Astros Prediction
Carrasco has got the win in seven of his last nine starts but has struggled away from Citi Field this season. We’ll go with the Astros at home in this matchup.
Pick: Astros ML (-129)
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 GUARANTEED!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
