MLB Picks & Best Bets (Sep. 19): Brewers’ Burnes Makes Cy Young Case vs. Royals
- The Brewers’ Corbin Burnes continues making his Cy Young case against the Royals on Saturday, Sept. 18
- In his first start since tossing a no-hitter, Alec Mills and the Cubs face the Twins
- See the early odds and picks for MLB’s Saturday slate (Sep. 19th)
Corbin Burnes hasn’t been in the Milwaukee Brewers’ rotation for the full season — but now that he’s there, he has put himself in solid position to compete for some serious hardware.
Burnes’ dominance on the mound this season makes him a top contender for the National League Cy Young award, and he can help bolster his case on Saturday, Sept. 19th, as Milwaukee faces the Kansas City Royals.
NB: The table below displays all Sep. 19th games open for betting as of 10:00 pm ET, Sep. 18th. It may not contain all games scheduled for Sep. 19th.
MLB Odds: Sep. 19th
| Team (Starter) | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays (TBD) | -139 | -1.5 (+115) | Over 9.0 (+110) | 6:10 pm |
| Philadelphia Phillies (V. Velasquez) | +129 | +1.5 (-135) | Under 9.0 (-130) | |
| Team (Starter) | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Washington Nationals (P. Corbin) | -109 | -1.5 (+150) | Over 8.0 (+100) | 6:10 pm |
| Miami Marlins (P. Lopez) | -101 | +1.5 (-170) | Under 8.0 (-120) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Cleveland Indians (T. McKenzie) | -167 | -1.5 (-110) | Over 8.5 (-105) | 6:10 pm |
| Detroit Tigers (S. Turnbull) | +154 | +1.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-115) | |
| Team (Starter) | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| St. Louis Cardinals (K. Hyun Kim) | -173 | -1.5 (-110) | Over 8.5 (-104) | 7:05 pm |
| Pittsburgh Pirates (M. Keller) | +159 | +1.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-116) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Kansas City Royals (K. Bubic) | +192 | +1.5 (-110) | Over 8.5 (-112) | 7:10 pm |
| Milwaukee Brewers (C. Burnes) | -210 | -1.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-108) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Arizona Diamondbacks (L. Weaver) | +147 | +1.5 (-135) | Over 8.5 (-125) | 7:10 pm |
| Houston Astros (C. Javier) | -159 | -1.5 (+115) | Under 8.5 (+105) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| New York Mets (D. Peterson) | +125 | +1.5 (-135) | Over 9.0 (+100) | 7:15 pm |
| Atlanta Braves (I. Anderson) | -135 | -1.5 (+115) | Under 9.0 (-120) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Tampa Bay Rays (C. Morton) | -170 | -1.5 (-115) | Over 9.0 (-105) | 7:35 pm |
| Baltimore Orioles (J. Lopez) | +157 | +1.5 (-105) | Under 9.0 (-115) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers (C. Kershaw) | -272 | -1.5 (-180) | Over 11.5 (-115) | 8:10 pm |
| Colorado Rockies (C.C. Gonzalez) | +242 | +1.5 (+160) | Under 11.5 (-105) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Minnesota Twins (M. Pineda) | -133 | TBD (TBD) | Over TBD (TBD) | 8:15 pm |
| Chicago Cubs (A. Mills) | +123 | TBD (TBD) | Under TBD (TBD) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| Texas Rangers (L. Lynn) | +149 | +1.5 (-145) | Over 7.5 (-105) | 9:10 pm |
| LA Angels (A. Heaney) | -162 | -1.5 (+125) | Under 7.5 (-115) | |
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Over/Under Run Total | Game Time (Eastern) |
| San Diego Padres (M. Clevinger) | -185 | -1.5 (-115) | Over 8.0 (-105) | 9:10 pm |
| Seattle Mariners (J. Sheffield) | +170 | +1.5 (-105) | Under 8.0 (-115) |
Odds as of Sept. 18th.
Pick 1: Brewers Moneyline (-210) vs Royals
Reasoning: It’s best to bet on Corbin Burnes.
He might not end up with enough innings to win over voters, but Brewers starter Corbin Burnes is doing just about everything he can to compete for the NL Cy Young award. And bettors should take note when he’s on the mound.
That's three straight wins for Corbin Burnes.@Burnes16 I #ThisIsMyCrew pic.twitter.com/5pT1d9vR3z
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) September 9, 2020
Burnes (3-0, 1.98 ERA) leads the NL in FIP, hits per 9, and strikeouts per 9. The light-hitting Royals (22nd in team OPS) haven’t seen him yet — and they surely won’t like what they see.
Pick 2: Cubs Moneyline (+123) vs Twins
Reasoning: Mills, Cubs are on a roll lately.
Cubs starter Alec Mills was unhittable in his last start. That is not hyperbole.
Mills tossed the second no-hitter of the MLB season on Sunday in a 12-0 win over the Brewers. He has now won back-to-back starts, allowing four hits and no runs in 15 innings.
🚨 NO-HITTER ALERT 🚨
Alec Mills blanks the Brewers for the Cubs' first no-no since 2016! pic.twitter.com/hHv6QL8OzT
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 13, 2020
Chicago and Minnesota haven’t faced each other since 2018 (until Thursday night), but the Cubs had won the past five meetings heading into this series, for what it’s worth. The Cubs have also won their past four games this season.
A two-team parlay on the Brewers and Cubs at -210 and +123, respectively, would pay out at +229.
Jordan Horrobin is a sports journalist whose MLB, NHL, NFL and NCAA work has appeared in outlets such as The Athletic, MLB.com, the Detroit Free Press and more. He is currently based in Toronto, also working as a contributor for Forbes.com and a freelance editor for Sportsnet.
