Orioles vs Yankees Odds, Lines & Picks (Sep. 30)
- The Orioles vs Yankees odds favor New York as -190 moneyline favorites on Friday (Sept. 30) at 7:05 pm ET
- Baltimore will give the ball to Jordan Lyles (11-11, 4.55 ERA), while New York will counter with Domingo German (2-3, 3.30 ERA)
- Read below for the Orioles vs Yankees odds and betting prediction
The Baltimore Orioles (80-76, 36-42 away) blew it. They were within striking distance of the final AL Wild Card spot entering the week, but now they’re all but eliminated. Baltimore is fresh off dropping three straight in Boston, and five of their past six overall, and are now 4.5 games back of Seattle with only six games to play.
Things won’t get any easier on Friday, as they travel to the Bronx to face the AL East champion Yankees (96-59, 56-22 home). New York has dominated their division rival so far this season, and oddsmakers expect that trend to continue.
Orioles vs Yankees Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Orioles | +160 | +1.5 (-125) | O 8.5 (-115) |
New York Yankees | -190 | -1.5 (+105) | U 8.5 (-105) |
Odds as of September 29 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code.
The Yankees are -190 moneyline favorites on Friday in a contest that features a total of 8.5. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm ET at Yankee Stadium, with clear skies and 67 degree game time temperatures on deck.
Baltimore vs New York Probable Pitchers
New York, the number three contender in the World Series odds, will give the ball to Domingo German. The 30-year-old is teetering on the edge of the playoff rotation, but will likely be the odd man out once the postseason starts.
The Yankees playoff rotation even with the disappointment/loss of Frankie Montas is still really damn good
Gerrit Cole
Nestor Cortes
Luis Severino
Jameson Taillon
Domingo Germán (if they were to use a 5th starter)— Dan Rourke (@DanAlanRourke) September 26, 2022
He’s pitched fairly well since returning from injury in July, posting a 2.72 ERA and 1.06 WHIP over 59.2 innings of work. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his past 12 outings, and has an excellent track record against the Orioles lineup.
German has held current Baltimore batters to four hits over 25 career at-bats, striking out six, while walking just one.
Lyles vs German Stats
11-11 | Record | 2-3 |
4.55 | ERA | 3.30 |
1.41 | WHIP | 1.12 |
.280 | OBA | .232 |
2.6 | SO/W Ratio | 3.1 |
The O’s will counter with Jordan Lyles. The 31-year-old started Monday night in Boston, but after allowing 5 hits and two runs in 2 innings prior to a rain delay, the O’s elected not to bring him back out.
#BAL Jordan Lyles is currently freezing.#Birdland | @Orioles pic.twitter.com/uAxhY4zXEF
— MLB Heat Check (@mlbheatcheck) September 29, 2022
Lyles has been inconsistent to say the least this season, trading brilliant outings with brutal ones. He’s struggled against the Yankees in five starts, allowing 31 hits and 17 runs in 28.2 innings of work. The former New Yorker has fared especially bad at Yankee Stadium, giving up 12 hits, 10 runs, and five homers over 11.1 innings.
Current New York batters are slugging .508 off him over 120 at-bats, with an .886 OPS.
Orioles vs Yankees Betting Trends
While Baltimore is slumping, New York is rolling. The Yankees have won nine of their last 10, fuelled by a red hot offense. Aaron Judge is now one home run away from number 62, and a new Bronx Bombers record, while the AL MVP odds favorite has mashed versus O’s pitching.
61 years since 61.
Aaron Judge has written his name alongside Roger Maris in baseball's record books. pic.twitter.com/1V4Gums34C
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) September 29, 2022
Judge is hitting .397 versus Baltimore this season, with 9 home runs, 19 RBI, a .931 slugging percentage, and a 1.384 OPS. As a team New York is batting .276 over the past week, averaging 6.3 runs per contest.
The O’s on the other hand, have performed fine at the plate during their recent slide, but have been abysmal on the mound. Baltimore pitchers have a 5.09 ERA over the past two weeks, and a 1.30 WHIP. They’ve been even worse at Yankee Stadium so far this season, yielding 40 runs to New York in just six games. To no one’s surprise given those numbers, is the fact that they are 1-5 in the Bronx this season.
BAL vs NYY Last 10 Meetings
Date | Away Team | Home Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
7/24/22 | Yankees | Orioles | NYY, 6-0 |
7/23/22 | Yankees | Orioles | BAL, 6-3 |
7/22/22 | Yankees | Orioles | NYY, 7-6 |
5/25/22 | Orioles | Yankees | NYY, 2-0 |
5/24/22 | Orioles | Yankees | NYY, 7-6 |
5/23/22 | Orioles | Yankees | BAL, 6-4 |
5/19/22 | Yankees | Orioles | BAL, 9-6 |
5/18/22 | Yankees | Orioles | NYY, 3-2 |
5/17/22 | Yankees | Orioles | NYY, 5-4 |
5/16/22 | Yankees | Orioles | NYY, 6-2 |
Orioles vs Yankees Pick
Baltimore is actually just 5-11 all season versus New York, surrendering at least five runs 10 times. Given how the Yanks are swinging the bats, and Lyles’ track record in the Bronx, I like targeting New York to put up multiple runs early.
They’re plus-money to score at least three times in the first 5 innings, which is very appealing. Only two teams average more runs over the first 5 innings than the Yankees, and they just happen to be Houston and the LA Dodgers, the only clubs with shorter World Series odds than New York.
Pick: New York Yankees Over 2.5 runs First 5 Innings (+100)
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