Rays vs Guardians Odds, Lines & Picks (Sep. 28)
- The Rays vs Guardians odds favor Cleveland as -120 moneyline favorites on Wednesday (Sept. 28) at 6:10 pm ET
- Tampa Bay will give the ball to Tyler Glasnow (2021 stats: 5-2, 2.66 ERA), while Cleveland will counter with Triston McKenzie (11-11, 3.04 ERA)
- Read below for the Rays vs Guardians odds and betting prediction
The Rays (85-69, 34-39 away) and Guardians (86-68, 40-33 home) continue their three-game series on Wednesday in what could be a potential Wild Card Round preview.
Tampa Bay took the series opener 6-5 in extra innings, and oddsmakers are expecting another close contest in Game 2.
Rays vs Guardians Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay Rays | +100 | -1.5 (+180) | Ov 6.5 (-120) |
Cleveland Guardians | -120 | +1.5 (-210) | Un 6.5 (+100) |
Odds as of September 27 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code.
The Guardians opened up as -120 moneyline favorites, in a contest that features an extra low total of 6.5. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10 pm ET at Progressive Field, in Cleveland, Ohio with clear skies and 62 degree game-time temperatures on deck.
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland Probable Pitchers
Cleveland, a top-11 World Series odds contender, will give the ball to third-year starter Triston McKenzie. The 25-year-old has already set career highs in innings pitched and strikeouts this season, and is on pace for the lowest ERA of his career.
Triston McKenzie, Unfair Curveballs. 😯
One of the best curveballs in baseball. pic.twitter.com/Uxrixu9Xxt
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) September 22, 2022
McKenzie has been a model of consistency in the second half, yielding three or fewer runs in nine straight starts. The Guardians have won each of his past four outings, and he’s fresh off 8 innings of two run ball against the White Sox.
The right-hander has made just one career start against the Rays, holding them to two runs over 6 innings last year. Current Tampa Bay hitters are batting just .190 against him, with a tiny .286 slugging percentage.
Glasnow (2021) vs McKenzie Stats
5-2 | Record | 11-11 |
2.66 | ERA | 3.04 |
0.93 | WHIP | 0.96 |
.176 | OBA | .227 |
4.6 | SO/W Ratio | 5.4 |
The Rays will counter with Tyler Glasnow, who’ll make his first start in 60 weeks following Tommy John Surgery. The hard throwing righty made a handful of starts in Triple-A during his rehab, and the reports were glowing.
Glasnow was hitting 99 mph on the radar gun, and struck out 14 of the 26 batters he faced. He only allowed one hit and four walks during his outings, and says he feels great.
Tyler Glasnow is set to make his season debut Wednesday in his return from Tommy John. We aren’t talking about that enough. That’s huge. We should talk about that more.
Huge for the Rays as we head towards October pic.twitter.com/5mmDLUIdBU
— Ben Verlander (@BenVerlander) September 26, 2022
He’ll reportedly be limited to roughly two or three innings and 45 pitches, which means Cleveland will see plenty of the Rays relievers. Tampa Bay’s bullpen has been suspect over the past two weeks, ranking bottom-eight in WAR and surrendering home runs at the league’s fifth highest rate.
Rays vs Guardians Betting Trends
The Rays bullpen blew an 8th inning lead on Tuesday, and used the majority of the relievers at their disposal after Corey Kluber lasted only 4 innings in his first trip back to Cleveland.
Classic José hustle! That's five straight games in which a @CleGuardians player has tripled.#ForTheLand pic.twitter.com/f8SlyUle7c
— Bally Sports Cleveland (@BallySportsCLE) September 27, 2022
The Guardians lineup is enjoying one of its best months of the season, averaging just shy of six runs per contest, while winning 16 of their past 19 contests. They racked up 14 hits in the series opener, nearly double the amount that Tampa Bay produced, but simply failed to capitalize with runners in scoring position.
Tampa Bay meanwhile, did get some timely hitting from Harold Ramirez, who doubled home a run off Shane Bieber to kick start a four-run 4th inning, and then had the game winning hit in the 11th.
HERE'S HAROLD pic.twitter.com/djoARRE07H
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) September 28, 2022
The Rays are not certainly not a potent lineup, but they’re not a bottom-feeder either. They’re capable of big performances as we’ve witnessed over the past week. They’ve scored seven or more runs three times in their last five outings, and have hit double-digits three times in the last two weeks.
TB vs CLE Last 10 Meetings
Date | Away Team | Home Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
9/27/22 | Rays | Guardians | TB, 6-5 |
7/31/22 | Guardians | Rays | CLE, 5-3 |
7/30/22 | Guardians | Rays | TB, 6-4 |
7/29/22 | Guardians | Rays | CLE, 4-1 |
7/25/21 | Rays | Guardians | CLE, 3-2 |
7/24/21 | Rays | Guardians | TB, 8-2 |
7/23/21 | Rays | Guardians | TB, 10-5 |
7/22/21 | Rays | Guardians | TB, 5-4 |
7/7/21 | Guardians | Rays | TB, 4-0 |
7/7/21 | Guardians | Rays | TB, 8-1 |
Rays vs Guardians Pick
6.5 runs is simply too low a total for this matchup. Yes, these two teams are usually favorites of under bettors, but the Guardians are swinging the bats too well right now to ignore. The fact that they’re going to face a tired bullpen for upwards of 6 innings of Wednesday only enhances their ceiling.
Tampa Bay meanwhile, is in a tough spot against McKenzie but they won’t need to do much to help push this game over the number. Each of the past three meetings between these two clubs have produced at least eight runs, and I’m betting this matchup will end up in that range as well.
Picks: Over 6.5 (-120), Guardians Over 3.5 runs (+110)
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