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Tuesday MLB Odds, Lines and Props – Cubs vs Padres (Davies vs Lamet)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 8, 2021 · 8:47 AM PDT

Kris Bryant mid-swing
Chicago Cubs' Kris Bryant breaks his bat on a pitch in the fourth inning of a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants Sunday, June 6, 2021, in San Francisco. (AP Photo/Scot Tucker)
  • The San Diego Padres are -177 home favorites over the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday night at Petco Park
  • Dinelson Lamet (1-0, 2.50) will pitch for the Padres against Zach Davies (2-3, 4.94)
  • A preview of Cubs-Padres along with a prediction can be found below

After falling out of first place in the National League Central, the Chicago Cubs will try to get back on track when they visit the San Diego Padres at 10:10 p.m. ET, Tuesday, in the middle game of a three-game series at Petco Park.

The Cubs will send Zach Davies (2-3, 4.94) to the mound against Dinelson Lamet (1-0, 2.50).

The Padres beat the Cubs 9-4 in the series opener Monday night. Chicago (33-27) lost for the fourth time in five games since winning nine of 10 and dropped 0.5 games behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the division race.

Favored on Tuesday, San Diego (37-25) had lost six of its previous eight games.

Cubs  vs Padres Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total at DraftKings<—
Chicago Cubs +150 +1.5 (-141) Over 8 (-113)
San Diego Padres -177 -1.5 (+118) Under 8 (-108)

Odds as of June 8th from DraftKings.

Davies to See Old Friends

Zach Davies will be facing his former team after being dealt to the Cubs as part of the offseason trade that sent Yu Darvish to the Padres.

Davies had a rough time his last time out last Thursday against the Giants at San Francisco as he allowed four runs and eight hits in 4.1 innings with two walks and four strikeouts while taking the loss.

However, Davies is 1-1 with a 2.52 ERA in his last seven games. He has shown some slick glove work, too.

Only once in 12 starts has Davies pitched at least six innings this season. That also represents his lone quality start.

Davies has struggled on the road, going 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in six starts. However, he is 6-2 with a 3.40 ERA in nine career starts at Petco Park and 4-0 lifetime against the Padres with a 3.31 ERA in six starts.

Padres Career Stats vs Davies

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG
Tommy Pham 6 1 0 0 1 .167
Manny Machado 3 1 0 1 0 .333
Jake Cronenworth 0 0 0 0 0 —
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2 1 0 0 1 .500
Eric Hosmer 4 3 1 3 0 .750
Wil Myers 9 1 0 0 4 .111
Jurickson Profar 0 0 0 0 0 —
Victor Caratini 12 2 1 1 3 .167

The Padres have gone nine straight games without having multiple hits with runners in scoring position, going 6 for 56 (.107). They were 1 for 12 in those situations Monday despite the nine-run outburst.

First baseman Eric Hosmer had the Padres’ lone hit with RISP on Monday and leads the NL with 24 hits in those situations.

The nine-run effort also ended a string of eight games in a row in which the Padres scored four runs or less.

MLB Odds
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Lamet Still Stretching Out

Lamet’s last start came against the Cubs last Wednesday at Chicago, and he looked sharp in a four-inning stint. He yielded one and four hits in four innings while striking out six and walking one.

The start was Lamet’s longest outing of the season both in terms of innings and pitches (72). The Padres are slowly easing Lamet back into action after he sustained an elbow injury late last season.

Lamet has made five starts and two relief appearances. Last season, he went 3-1 with a 2.09 ERA in 12 starts and finished fourth in the National League Cy Young Award voting during the pandemic-shortened season.

In three career starts against the Cubs, Lamet is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA. He has pitched well at home this season, going 1-0 with a 1.00 ERA in four games, including two starts.

Cubs Career Stats vs Lamet

Player AB H HR RBI K AVG
Joc Pederson 11 3 2 3 4 .273
Kris Bryant 4 2 0 1 1 .500
Ian Happ 4 1 0 2 1 .250
Anthony Rizzo 7 1 0 0 0 .143
Willson Contreras 2 1 0 1 0 .500
Jason Heyward 4 3 0 0 1 .750
Sergio Alcantara 0 0 0 0 0 —
Eric Sogard 5 2 0 0 3 .400

Cubs shortstop Javier Baez sat out Monday’s game with a bruised right thumb and is considered day-to-day. He got the Padres last week.

Outfielder Joc Pederson (lower back tightness) pinch hit Monday after missing Sunday’s win against the Giants in San Francisco. He will likely be in the lineup Tuesday.

The Cubs have scored five runs or fewer in their last five games.

Machado, O’Grady Lead Way

Manny Machado and Brian O’Grady each homered and had three RBIs to lead the Padres in Monday’s win.

Machado hit a solo home run and two sacrifice flies. O’Grady had a two-run homer and an RBI single.

Ian Happ homered for the Cubs.

It was the Padres’ first win in four tries against the Cubs this season after getting swept in a three-game series last week in Chicago.

While Davies’ track record against the Padres and at Petco Park are good, looking for the Padres to prevail as Lamet keeps getting stronger with each outing.

The Pick: Padres (-177)

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