Updated World Series Price Ahead of Game 4 Has Nationals at -120
- Washington is now -120 to win the World Series after being at -265 after Game 2
- Patrick Corbin starts on Saturday and has allowed 12 runs in his last three playoffs starts (11.2 innings pitched)
- Get the odds, our pick, and all the betting info you need for Game 4 of the World Series
The Houston Astros are on the board in the World Series as they picked up a 4-1 win in Game 3. Obviously, it was an important win as digging an 0-3 series hole would have made this a wrap. With the win, the 2019 World Series odds have shifted nearly back to how they were after Game 1. What’s the best play here?
Updated World Series Odds After Game 3
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Washington Nationals | Nationals -120 |
| Houston Astros | Astros +100 |
Odds taken October 26, 2019
Greinke, Bullpen Lead the Way for Houston
After Games 1 and 2 where Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole left their team with a deficit, Greinke gave the team so solid work on Friday. While he only lasted 4.2 innings and gave up seven hits and three walks, the key was that he only allowed one run. The bullpen went the rest of the way giving up just three hits and no runs.
The Astros were also able to get their bats going as they got to Anibal Sanchez. Clearly the weakest Nats starter they’ve seen, Sanchez allowed 10 hits and a walk in 5.1 innings of work. He was constantly in trouble in all but the fourth inning. While the Astros didn’t have a big rally, four one-run innings is all they needed.
One injury note worth monitoring is Nats catcher Kurt Suzuki. He was removed from Game 3 with a hip flexor injury. He suffered the injury while he was behind the plate and was pulled for a pinch-hitter the next inning. It’s unclear how severe the injury is or if he’ll require an MRI, but we can expect to see Yan Gomes behind the plate on Saturday.
It’s a somewhat significant loss as he had a home run and two runs scored so far in the World Series. Patrick Corbin is starting on Saturday and keep in mind that Gomes started behind the plate in two of his three playoff starts.
Nationals Still Favored to Win World Series
The World Series odds are now back in the neighborhood where we saw them after Game 1. The Astros started as a -215 favorite but then fell back to -120 after their Game 1 loss. Washington shot up to -265 after winning Game 2 but now that they’ve lost at home, they are down to being a -120 favorite.
Nationals Have Edge on Saturday
Saturday will be a pivotal game as the Nationals have a clear-cut edge on the mound. They spent $140 million on Corbin this offseason and he’ll be on the mound against Jose Urquidy. The latter is a 24-year-old rookie who has a 3.95 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in seven starts this season. He’s pitched 4.1 innings (no starts) in the playoffs, giving up one run.
Corbin had a crisp 1.18 WHIP in the regular season but has had mixed results in the playoffs. He’s done well out of the bullpen but in his three playoff starts this season, he’s allowed 12 runs in just 11.2 innings of work.
What’s the Best Bet?
It feels like the Astros got off the mat on Friday and they should have a shot at this on Sunday given how Corbin has pitched recently. Betting the over for Saturday’s game seems to make the most sense, but if you’re playing the series, I’d take a small flier on Houston at EVEN money right now. If they win this game, they could have a clear path to win it with their aces coming back up.
For over 15 years, Dave has been working in mainstream media and sports betting. He hosted a station on Sirius Satellite Radio for four years, and is currently a senior writer for AskMen. He's interviewed hundreds of hundreds of high-profile sports stars like Shaquille O'Neal and Floyd Mayweather.
