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Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds, Betting Lines, and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 29)

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in MLB Baseball

Updated Sep 28, 2021 · 8:03 PM PDT

New York Yankees' Giancarlo Stanton at the plate
New York Yankees' Giancarlo Stanton watches his two-run home run during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the Boston Red Sox, Sunday, Sept. 26, 2021, in Boston. (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • The Yankees and Blue Jays continue their massive three-game series on Wednesday at the Rogers Centre
  • Both teams are fighting tirelessly for an AL Wild Card spot
  • Find the odds, preview, and prediction below

The AL Wild Card race continues to be fierce with just a week left in the season. The New York Yankees (90-67, 45-34 away) and the Toronto Blue Jays (87-70, 43-32 home) are right in the thick of things and they will continue their three-game set on Wednesday at the Rogers Centre. First-pitch is scheduled for 7:07 PM ET. We’ll have to quality arms on the mound in this one, with Gerrit Cole and Jose Berrios going head to head.

Toronto had won four straight against the Yankees before NY’s victory in the series opener.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline total
New York Yankees -120 -1.5 (+140) Ov 8.5 (-105)
Toronto Blue Jays +100 +1.5 (-160) Un 8.5 (-115)

Odds as of September 28th at DraftKings.

Probable Pitchers

The Blue Jays will have it tough here with Cole getting the ball. The right-hander has been the standout performer in the Yankees rotation this season, posting a 16-8 record and 3.08 ERA in 29 starts. He’s also second in the American League in strikeouts, racking up an impressive 237 K’s in 175 innings of work. However, Cole is coming off two rather average outings.

Although he got the win, the former UCLA star surrendered three earned runs and five hits across six frames against the Red Sox at Fenway. Five days before that, Cole was lit up for seven runs and 10 hits by Cleveland. The home run has also been a problem during these starts, allowing three of them. In fact, Cole has a 4.61 ERA in September. On a more positive note though, the 31-year-old has pitched very well vs Toronto in 2021, compiling a 2.74 ERA in four appearances.

Cole vs Berrios

Gerrit Cole
VS
Jose Berrios
16-8 Record 12-9
3.08 ERA 3.48
175.1 Innings Pitched 186
237 SO 197
41 BB 45

Berrios is fresh off two starts against his former team, the Minnesota Twins. In the process, he gave up six earned runs but managed to keep his team in both games. On the year, Berrios boasts a 3.48 ERA and 12-9 record in 31 outings. He’s also struck out 197 in 186 frames. The Puerto Rico native has given the Jays much-needed longevity across the last month. In fact, he’s pitched at least six innings in each of his previous six outings dating back to August 29th.

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Since joining Toronto, Berrios has also compiled a 3.50 ERA. He’s faced the Yankees once this season and enjoyed some success, allowing just two earned runs in 6.2 innings. However, in his career, Berrios has an ERA just under five vs. New York. On a more positive note though, he pitches slightly better at home with a 3.20 ERA compared to 3.80 on the road.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Blue Jays Hitters Batting Average vs Cole Yankees Hitters Batting Average vs Berrios
Bo Bichette .111 Joey Gallo .100
Cavan Biggio .200 Brett Gardner .364
Corey Dickerson .400 Tyler Wade .000
Jarrod Dyson .235 Aaron Judge .625
Randal Grichuk .118 DJ LaMahieu .000
Vladimir Guerrero Jr .267 Rougned Odor .111
Lourdes Gurriel .125 Anthony Rizzo .333
Teoscar Hernandez .417 Gary Sanchez .111
Danny Jansen .333 Giancarlo Stanton .200
Alejandro Kirk .500 Gleyber Torres .200
Marcus Semien .154 Gio Urshela .500
George Springer .333 N/A N/A

After a red-hot span where their bats were firing on all cylinders, the Jays have slowed down since. Prior to this Yankees series, Toronto split a four-game set with the Minnesota Twins and then dropped two of three to Tampa before that. Following their loss on Tuesday to New York, the Jays are now 2.5 games back of the Yanks and a half-game behind Boston for the final Wild Card spot. These next two contests are absolutely crucial if Charlie Montoyo’s squad is going to have any chance at making the postseason.

On the other hand, the Yankees are showing up at the best possible time. They rolled into Fenway and swept the Red Sox and have now won seven straight. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are absolutely raking right now, with the latter going deep in every game against Boston and clubbing a three-run bomb on Tuesday, while Judge also left the yard in the win over Toronto.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

New York is just too hot offensively right now. I also don’t see Cole giving up a lot of runs considering how he’s pitched against Toronto. Berrios meanwhile, has had his troubles with the Yankees lineup over the years. That being said, take the Bronx Bombers on the moneyline here.

Pick: New York Yankees moneyline (-120)

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