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2019 NBA Draft Props: Over/Under for Duke Players in Top 5 Set at 2.5

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 31, 2020 · 9:40 PM PDT

RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson high five
Duke stars Zion Williamson and RJ Barrett both figure prominently in NBA draft prop wagers. Photo By Keenan Hairston (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • A variety of prop wagers have been offered for the 2019 NBA Draft
  • Which NBA team will draft Duke’s Zion Williamson?
  • Which NCAA conference will have the most players selected?

Zion Williamson’s farewell appearance as an NCAA basketball star will come June 20th at the Barclays Center. That’s the day the Duke Blue Devils sensation will be selected first overall in the NBA draft.

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While that fact of life is a foregone conclusion, no draft day takes more twists and turns than the NBA . Here’s a chance to turn those developments into a profitable venture.

Check out the vast array of 2019 NBA Draft prop wagers, beginning with the man of the hour.

Zion Williamson 2019 NBA Draft Props

Which team will draft Williamson, for starters?  Just like the teams waiting for the balls to drop during Tuesday’s NBA draft lottery, all you can do is make your pick and hope it comes up.

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Changes in the NBA draft lottery this year mean the New York Knicks, Cleveland Cavaliers, and Phoenix Suns possess an equal 14% chance of landing the first overall pick.

Which NBA Team Will Draft Zion Williamson?

Which Team Will Draft Zion Williamson? Odds
New York Knicks +500
Cleveland Cavaliers +500
Phoenix Suns +500
Chicago Bulls +600
Atlanta Hawks +700
Washington Wizards 800

*All odds taken 05/13/19. Follow the link in the table above for complete listing.

As the NBA’s worst team, in past the Knicks would have owned a 25% chance of landing no. 1. Regardless, we’ll role the dice and say Zion will be taking his talents to MSG.

Pick: New York Knicks (+500)

Will Zion Williamson Be an NBA All-Star as a Rookie?

Will Zion Williamson Be an All-Star as a Rookie? Odds
Yes +150
No -200

Of course he will. Magic was. Bird was. Michael was.

On the other hand, LeBron wasn’t.

Pick: Yes (+150)

How Many Instagram Posts Will ESPN Have About Zion Williamson on Draft Day?

Number of Instagram Posts About Zion Williamson By ESPN on Draft Day Odds
Over 2.5 -120
Under 2.5 -120

Of course they’ll go over. Zion is the biggest thing to happen to the world leader since LeBron.

Pick: Over 2.5 (-120)

Will the NBA Team that Drafts Zion Williamson Sign a Max Free Agent?

Will the NBA Team that Drafts Zion Williamson Sign a Max FA? Odds
Yes +120
No -160

If Zion goes to the Knicks, the answer is a resounding yes. New York cleared plenty of cap space to make it happen.

Pick: Yes (+120)

Will Zion Williamson Start Game 1 of His NBA Career?

Will Zion Williamson Start the First Game of His NBA Career? Odds
Yes -1000
No +550

Barring injury, there’s absolutely no way that Zion isn’t on the floor for his new NBA team at the opening tip of the 2019-20 regular season.

Pick: Yes (-1000)

College Conference 2019 NBA Draft Odds

The ACC? The SEC? Which of these legendary basketball conferences will own bragging rights by the end of the first round?

NCAA Conference Total NBA First Round Draft Picks

Total Over Odds Total Under Odds NCAA Conference
Over 9.5 -140 Under 9.5 +100 ACC
Over 6.5 -120 Under 6.5 -120 SEC

The ACC will start strongly and go over. It will be close but the SEC will be under.

Pick: ACC Over 9.5 (-140)

How Many ACC Players Will Be NBA First-Round Draft Picks?

Outcome Odds Outcome Odds
Over 4.5 -190 Under 4.5 +145

Duke’s Williamson, RJ Barrett, and Cameron Reddish are all top 10 picks.

So are Virginia’s DeAndre Hunter and North Carolina’s Coby White.

Play the over.

Pick: Over 4.5 (-190)

Which College Will Have More Players Taken in the First Round of the NBA Draft?

Outcome Odds
Kentucky -135
North Carolina -105
Outcome Odds
Tennessee +170
Virginia -250

Take the Wildcats and the Cavaliers, and you’ll be cashing in.

Picks: Kentucky (-135) and Virginia (-250)

Total Players Taken in First Round of NBA Draft

Outcome Odds on Gonzaga Players Taken in Top 15 of NBA Draft
Over 1.5 -140
Under 1.5 +100
Outcome Odds on Duke Players Taken in Top 10 of NBA Draft
Over 2.5 +155
Under 2.5 -220
Outcome Odds on North Carolina Players Taken in Top 10 of NBA Draft
Over 1.5 +120
Under 1.5 -160

The Zags’ Rui Hachimura definitely goes high. Brandon Clarke won’t go in the top 15. Bet the under.

As noted earlier, Blue Devils will have three players in the top 10. It’s another over.

White is a Tar Heel in the top 10 but Nassir Little just misses out. Go under.

Gonzaga Pick: Under 1.5 (-140)

Duke Pick: Over 2.5 (+155)

North Carolina Pick: Under 1.5 (-160)

2019 NBA Draft Player Props

Who’s going where, and when? How high, or how low?

Where Will These Players Land on Draft Day?

Outcome Odds Outcome Odds Darius Garland goes in Top 10 of NBA Draft
Yes -130 No -110
Outcome Odds Outcome Odds on Romeo Langford NBA Draft Position
Over 15.5 -120 Under 15.5 -120
Outcome Odds Outcome Odds on Carsen Edwards Being a First Round NBA Draft Pick
Yes +120 No -160
Outcome Odds Outcome Odds on CJ Massenburg Being Selected in NBA Draft
Yes -270 No +180
Outcome Odds Outcome Odds on Jarrett Culver NBA Draft Position
Over 4.5 -130 Under 4.5 -110
Outcome Odds Outcome Odds on Bol Bol Being Selected in Top 10 of NBA Draft
Yes +145 No -190

Garland will go in the top 10. Langford will fall out of the top 15. Edwards will be a second-round selection. Massenburg won’t be drafted. Culver won’t be a top-five choice. Bol won’t be picked among the top 10.

Will De’Andre Hunter or Cam Reddish Be Picked First?

Who Will Be Picked First in the 2019 NBA Draft? Odds
De’Andre Hunter -160
Cam Reddish +120

Hunter gets the call here.

Pick: De’Andre Hunter (-160)

College Class 2019 NBA Draft Odds

It’s a big year for the one and done studs. Expect at least five freshmen to go in the top 10.

How Many Freshman and Seniors Will Be Chosen in the First Round?

Freshmen Picked in Top 10 Odds Outcome Odds
Over 5.5 +100 Under 5.5 -140
Seniors Picked in First Round Odds Outcome Odds
Over 1.5 -200 Under 1.5 +150

Take the over on both these wagers.

Freshman Pick: Over 5.5 (+100)

Senior Pick: Over 1.5 (-200)

General Odds And Ends

How many international players will be selected? Will a team outside the top five win the lottery?

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Will the Dallas Mavericks keep their first-round pick? How many trades will go down on draft day?

How Many International Players Will Be Selected in the First-Round?

How Many International Players Will Be Chosen in the First Round? Odds
Over 2.5 +150
Under 2.5 -200

It’s not a big year for international players. At the most, there will be two first-round picks, led by France’s Sekou Doumbouya. He’ll go in the top half of the first round.

Pick: Under 2.5 (-200)

Will a Team Outside the Top Five Pick First Overall?

Will a Team Outside the Top 5 Pick First Overall? Odds
Yes +240
No -380

Only once since 2012 has a team outside the top five won the lottery. That was Cleveland (ninth overall) in 2014.

The last four years the no. 1 pick has gone to the worst regular-season team. Bet no.

Pick: No (-380)

Will Dallas Keep its First-Round Pick?

Will the Mavericks Keep Their First Round Draft Pick? Odds
Yes +180
No -270

Thanks to last year’s Trae Young-Luka Doncic draft-day deal, the Mavs only keep their first-round pick if its a top-four selection. Otherwise it goes to Atlanta.

There’s a 73.8 percent chance Dallas lands outside the top four in the lottery. No is the play.

Pick: No (-270)

How Many Trades Will there Be on NBA Draft Day?

Total Number of Trades on NBA Draft Day Odds
Over 10.5 -120
Under 10.5 -120

The average number of draft-draft trades over the past five years is 11.8. There was nine last year but it’s gone over 10.5 three of those five drafts.

Play the over.

Pick: Over 10.5 (-120)

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