Upcoming Match-ups

Bucks vs Hawks Game 4 Best Player Prop Bets – June 29th

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in NBA Basketball

Updated Jun 29, 2021 · 7:11 AM PDT

Jrue Holiday
Can Jrue Holiday and the Bucks take a 3-1 lead on Atlanta? (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks and Atlanta Hawks meet for Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Tuesday June, 29th 
  • Trae Young (ankle) is questionable as the Hawks look to even the series up in Atlanta
  • Read below for the latest NBA player props, analysis and picks

Following a Game 1 loss, the Milwaukee Bucks have bounced back in emphatic fashion. Milwaukee holds a 2-1 lead in the Eastern Conference Finals ahead of Tuesday’s Game 4 on the back of some fourth quarter mastery from Khris Middleton in front of a wild Hawks crowd on Sunday.

Trae Young injured his ankle in Game 3. The All-Star point guard suffered a bone bruise and is listed as questionable, but it would be a massive shock if he didn’t play. The books’ betting lines suggest Young will play with the spread hovering around seven, which is roughly where it’s been for most of this series.

Bucks vs Hawks Game 4 Player Props

MIL vs ATL Points at FanDuel Rebounds Assists Three Pointers Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) 32.5 (O -120 | U -102) 12.5 (O -114 | U -106) 5.5 (O -110 | U -110) 1.5 (O +172 | U -225)
Khris Middleton (MIL) 23.5 (O -104 | U -118) 7.5 (O +124 | U -152) 5.5 (O -106 | U -114) 2.5 (O -140 | U +110)
Jrue Holiday (MIL) 18.5 (O -122 | U +100) 5.5 (O +122 | U -150)  8.5 (O +116 | U -152) 2.5 (O +140 | U -180)
Trae Young (ATL) 28.5 (O -102 | U -120) 3.5 (O +138 | U -170) 8.5 (O +104 | U -128) 2.5 (O -170 | U +132)
John Collins (ATL) 14.5 (O -118 | U -102) 9.5 (O +104 | U -128) OFF 1.5 (O +130 | U -166)
Clint Capela (ATL) 10.5 (O -116 | U -106) 12.5 (O +108 | U -132) OFF OFF

Odds as of Jun 29th

Collins Stays on the Court

John Collins has been immense in these playoffs. Questions about his positional fit have disappeared. He’s played tough defense, and accepted his place in the offense. Atlanta has generally been better with him on the floor, though a blowout and foul trouble have limited his minutes in the last two games.

Collins’ points and rebounds line is what catches the eye here. The shot can come and go, meaning his points line is hard to judge. The hustle hasn’t waned in this postseason, however, and he has remained a force on the glass even while sharing the floor with Clint Capela and Giannis Antetokounmpo.

FanDuel has Collins’ points and rebounds line at 24.5. He has been way below this in the last two games, but that could prove no more than a distraction. Low minutes have contributed to a drop off in production. He went for 26 or more points and rebounds in five of the previous six games.

Personal fouls kept Collins off the court for more minutes than Nate McMillan would have liked in Game 3. A repeat of the Game 2 blowout is unlikely given how competitive most of this series has been. With Bogdan Bogdanovic struggling, McMillan has favored bigger lineups, making Collins’ role yet more important.

  • Pick: John Collins over 24.5 points and rebounds (-106)

Jrue at Point

Jrue Holiday’s offense has been inconsistent in the playoffs. He scored just six points in Game 3, following 55 points across the first two games. Some of this can be attributed to streaky perimeter shooting, and some can be put down to the work he’s having to put in on the defensive end against Trae Young. With Young expected to play, Holiday’s defensive burden is unlikely to ease.

Khris Middleton’s play in Game 3 took the pressure off Holiday. Despite all the noise about his lack of a shot and free throw struggles, Giannis Antetokounmpo is putting up historic postseason numbers. Holiday being the third option and initiating offense is enough for Mike Budenholzer at the moment.

Crucially, the former Pelican isn’t just spotting up. He’s running the point, racking up assists as a pick-and-roll ball handler and attacking favorable matchups. While the shot might not be falling, Holiday is still integral to the Bucks’ offense. This is evidenced in his 9.7 assists averaged per game in this series.

Having averaged 6.1 dimes per game in the regular year, the 8.5 line might seem high. Holiday is playing massive minutes, though. He’s reached double figures in two of the three games. The only time he fell short was when the Bucks recorded a blowout and he played way below his usual minutes.

Pick: Jrue Holiday over 8.5 assists (+116)

Author Image