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Celtics Given 18-1 Odds to Come Back From 3-1 Deficit in Series With Bucks

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 30, 2020 · 6:13 PM PDT

Kyrie Irving and Russell Westbrook
Can Kyrie Irving and the Celtics pull off an improbable three-game comeback against the top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks? Photo by Torrey Purvey/Icon Sportswire.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks lead the Boston Celtics 3-1 in their 2nd Round series
  • Kyrie Irving has made only 19 of his last 62 shots and needs to rebound for Boston to have a chance
  • Gordon Hayward scored only 2 points in Game 4; his 2nd lowest total in a game with the Celtics

The Milwaukee Bucks, make that Giannis Antetokounmpo, has the Boston Celtics on the brink of elimination.

After another dominant performance in Game 4, Giannis and the Bucks now lead the series 3-1 and have been listed as the overwhelming favorites to advance.

Updated Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Series Price

Team Celtics vs Bucks Series Odds
Milwaukee Bucks -50000
Boston Celtics +1800

*Odds taken 5/7

The Celtics won the opening game of this series what feels like an eternity ago and the odds have changed big time since before Game 4.

If you think Boston is capable of an improbable comeback, the odds are enticing. However, there’s more money to be made a different way if that’s the route you want to go down.

Get Creative If Betting On Boston

Again, if you believe in Brad Stevens’ Celtics, +1800 sounds like incredible value. But there’s another way to go about this.

Let’s say, for example, you have $100 to bet on the remainder of the series. Betting it on Boston’s series price now would win you $1,800 if they win three straight, a fine return.

But you could also bet the Celtics’ moneyline in each game and end up with substantially more in three games’ time.

In Game 5, they are currently about +350 underdogs. Should you bet your $100 on them, you would profit $350 if they win and then have $450 to wager on Game 6. Based on the moneylines from Games 3 and 4, Game 6 would be about a pick’em. If you bet your $450 at +100, you would win up with $900 to wager on the final game.

You’re unlikely to get +350 odds in a Game 7. If Boston wins two straight, they will have instilled some belief in both sportsbooks and the betting public. But assuming they are about +250 underdogs, like they were in Game 1 in Milwaukee, betting all $900 on Boston to complete the comeback would result in about a $2,300 payday on that game alone (and a $3,100 total gain from the three games, combined).

The Case For The Celtics

Betting against Giannis and the Bucks at this point may seem foolish — they haven’t lost three straight games all season, after all — but it’s not impossible to imagine a path for Boston to get back in this series.

Kyrie Irving has made only 19 of his last 62 shots but is one of the most clutch stars in the NBA. With the Celtics on the brink of elimination, I’d expect him to not only snap out of his slump but to match the production of Milwaukee’s Greek Freak.

If he can do that and it becomes a battle of the rest of the rosters, all of a sudden Boston looks like it has a much better chance.

Gordon Hayward had only 2 points, 3 rebounds and 0 assists in Game 4.  He will need to provide Irving with some help to make this comeback a possibility, but he’s more than capable of doing so.

Is it a tough task? Of course.  That’s why you’re getting paid +1800 to side with the Celtics if you take the series prop and even more if you bet each game individually.  Irving could make this an interesting series if Hayward, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown step up.

Consider your options wisely going forward to take full advantage of a possible comeback if you believe it can happen.

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