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Heat Championship Odds Shorten to +2800 After Signing Kyle Lowry to 3-Year Deal

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Updated Aug 2, 2021 · 6:35 PM PDT

Kyle Lowry holding NBA title
Kyle Lowry is going to the Miami Heat as part of a sign-and-trade deal on the opening day of NBA Free aency. (Photo by Julian Avram/Icon Sportswire)
  • Miami Heat land Kyle Lowry in sign-and-trade with the Toronto Raptors
  • The Heat were swept in the first round last year
  • Read below to see if the Heat are worth a wager for the NBA title

The Kyle Lowry era is over in Toronto.

His new team, the Miami Heat, are hoping his arrival in South Beach keeps keeps their championship window open.

While the details are still being settled, the Raptors agreed to sign-and-trade their franchise icon to the Heat for a player that’s yet to be named. Lowry’s deal is reportedly in the 3-year, $90 million range.

With Miami also re-signing Duncan Robinson to a 5-year, $90 million deal, and finalizing a max contract for Jimmy Butler, the Heat’s NBA Championship odds have jumped to +2800 from +3500.

2022 NBA Championship Odds

Team Odds
Brooklyn Nets +200
Los Angeles Lakers +400
Milwaukee Bucks +950
Golden State Warriors +1000
Phoenix Suns +1600
Utah Jazz +1600
Philadelphia 76ers +1600
Los Angeles Clippers +1800
Denver Nuggets +2000
Dallas Mavericks +2800
Miami Heat +2800
Atlanta Hawks +3500
Boston Celtics +5000
Portland Trail Blazers +5000
New Orleans Pelicans +8000
Toronto Raptors +8000
Chicago Bulls +8000

*Odds as of August 2 at DraftKings

He joins a Heat squad licking its wounds after an opening round sweep at the hands of the Milwaukee Bucks, who went on to win the 2021 NBA title. Miami is also just  year removed from an NBA Finals appearance. Let’s see if there’s any value in a Heat bet for 2022.

Lowry Lands in Miami

Perhaps no team values culture more than the Heat, so adding Lowry to this mix will only add to that ethos.

The 6-foot guard from North Philly brings a dogged determination to the court, and even at age 35 is still considered a premier defender in the NBA.

He’s built a stellar rep through a 9-year run in Toronto, where he made the all-star team six times and was named to an all-NBA team, while always near the top of the leaderboard in charges drawn.

His best work was teaming with prized pickup Kawhi Leonard and a burgeoning young group of talents in Fred VanVleet and Pascal Siakam to lead the Raptors to a title in 2019.

Lowry projects as a supercharged complimentary piece in Miami, with an offensive game that can step in to lead a team when needed, but will do whatever is necessary to win.

He finished last year averaging 17.2 points, 7.3 assists and 5.4 rebounds, while drilling 39.6% from deep — the third best mark of his 15-year career.

Durability might be a factor here. Lowry played just 46 games last season, battling nagging foot, back and thumb injuries. He’s surpassed 65 games played just twice in the last five years.

Not Easy in the East

As K-Low can attest to himself, the East is not easy. His situation changes slightly in Miami, with Butler slotted into the superstar role, Bam Adebayo as their defensive fort and elbow hub on offense.

They also have a nice young group around the stars, headlined by Tyler Herro, entering just his third year, Robinson, a sharpshooting specialist, and second-year big Precious Achiuwa.

But the conference is loaded: Brooklyn, assuming full health, is a heavy favorite to take the NBA title. Giannis Antetokounmpo is just getting to his prime, and the Bucks are already coming off a title year. The 76ers still have Joel Embiid, and whatever happens with the Ben Simmons situation.

And Lowry should definitely help a Heat team that looked a shell of themselves in these playoffs, where they scored just 98 points a game, shot 39.5% from the field and 33.6% from three. But their real level-up will be if Adebayo can improve his offensive game, as teams were daring him to shoot in the midrange, and he struggled mightily.

Worth the Wager?

With Lowry in the fold, this Miami team is going to return to that “not fun to play against” teams that sort of slipped away from them a year ago. The team reportedly also just signed PJ Tucker to a 2-year, $15 million deal, for added sandpaper and some extra shooting from the three-point corners.

They should be able to compete with the East heavies, and taking a flier on them at +2800 is not a bad wager. More shooting will always help, and Pat Riley is always looking to add to his roster. But as currently constructed, they’re slotted just about where they should be.

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