Heat vs Knicks Picks, Odds & Player Props for Game 5
- The New York Knicks are 3.5-point home favorites over the Miami Heat in Game 5 of their NBA second-round playoff series on Wednesday, May 10
- New York is seeking to rally from a 3-1 series deficit for the first time in NBA history, while the Heat are 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against the Knicks
- See the Heat vs Knicks predictions, odds, and player props to target for Game 5
If the New York Knicks can’t make history, they will soon be history at the hands of the Miami Heat. In the storied history of the Knicks franchise, they’ve rallied from a 3-1 deficit to win an NBA playoff series.
That’s the deficit they find themselves facing heading into Game 5 of their Eastern Conference second-round set with the Heat. Yet oddsmakers are showing confidence that New York can survive the first step of this journey.
The Knicks are set as 3.5-point home favorites over the Heat in the NBA betting odds. However, New York is 3-7 against the spread in the last 10 home games against Miami.
Heat vs Knicks Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | +3.5 (-110) | +140 | O 209.5 (-110) |
| New York Knicks | -3.5 (-110) | -165 | U 209.5 (-110) |
This game is being broadcast by TNT in the USA and TSN in Canada. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday, May 10.
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The Knicks are seeking to become just the 14th team in NBA history to rally from a 3-1 series disadvantage in the NBA playoff bracket. However, the Heat remain a solid -950 pick to win this set in the NBA series betting odds. New York is offering a +625 underdog betting line. Miami is the +1300 fifth betting choice in the NBA championship odds. New York is a +8500 long shot to win the title.
Heat vs Knicks Betting Trends
The people are strongly supporting Miami to put a dagger into New York’s hopes during Game 5. In the NBA public betting trends, the Heat are drawing 80% of handle and 84% of bets in the spread splits. Moving over to the moneyline splits, much of the action is still all over Miami. The Heat are garnering 89% of handle. However, it’s the Knicks who are pulling in 54% of bets. New York is just 4-6 straight up in the club’s past 10 home games facing Miami.
Looking at the total splits on the over/under of 209.5 points, the over is the overwhelming choice. It’s pulling 83% of handle and 82% of bets. The total has gone over in seven of Miami’s last nine games. However, the under has hit in seven of New York’s past nine outings.
Knicks Need To Find Solutions And Fast
Everywhere you look on the floor, there are issues facing New York. Center Mitchell Robinson, arguably the Knicks’ key player in their first-round win over Cleveland, is being dominated by Miami counterpart Bam Adebayo. For the series, Robinson has grabbed just 16 offensive rebounds. He had 11 of them alone in the series decider vs the Cavaliers.
The Heat are 14-0 all-time when leading a best-of-7 series 3-1.
The Knicks are 0-14 all-time when trailing a best-of-7 series 3-1. pic.twitter.com/3sC7oA7ggM
— NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) May 9, 2023
Overall, Miami is controlling the offensive boards and the paint. That’s problematic for a New York team that was an NBA-worst 28.2% from 3-point range in the playoffs. The Heat bench is outscoring Knicks subs by a 13.5 points per game margin. To make matters worse, NBA Sixth Man of the Year runner-up Immanuel Quickly (sprained left ankle) is doubtful to play for New York in Game 5.
New York star forward Julius Randle has turned the ball over 10 times in the last two games.
Miami vs New York Player Props
Looking at the best Game 5 Miami vs. New York player props, one player who hasn’t been letting the Knicks down is guard Jalen Brunson. He’s averaging 26.75 ppg in this series. FanDuel has set his points total at 25.5 points. Take the over at -104 odds.
Jalen Brunson is the first Knicks player with a 30-point playoff game at MSG since Melo in 2013 🤩 pic.twitter.com/rd4vZaCNJV
— NBA on ESPN (@ESPNNBA) May 3, 2023
On the other hand, the Heat are completely owning Robinson. He’s averaging 4.7 points and 5.7 rebounds in the series. During the regular season, Robinson was putting up 4.7 points and 6.3 rebounds in games against the Heat, so this is an ongoing trend. Caesars is setting Robinson’s combined points, rebounds and assists for Game 5 at 15.5. Take the under at a betting line of -119.
Heat vs Knicks Prediction
The Heat are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their past seven games. They’re also 5-1 ATS in the last six against the Knicks. Miami has won 13 of the last 19 SU from New York.
It’s the heat that’s truly on the Knicks and every factor is pointing toward this series coming to an end in Game 5.
Pick: Miami Heat +3.5 (-110)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
