Warriors vs Timberwolves Predictions, Spread & Odds (Nov. 27)
- The Golden State Warriors are 1.5-point road favorites as they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Golden State has just one win in 10 road games on the season
- Read below for the Warriors vs Timberwolves preview, with odds and predictions
At some point, if the Golden State Warriors (10-10, 1-9 away) want to climb up the West ladder, they’re going to have to win on the road.
Despite just a single win in 10 games away from Chase Center, the Dubs are somehow road favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves (10-9, 5-5 home).
Perhaps it’s because the T-Wolves are just .500 at home, or they just had their 5-game win streak snapped at the hands of the Charlotte Hornets Friday.
It’s certainly not because of last year’s results, where they won both games at home in their 4-game regular-season head-to-heads by an average of 17.5 points.
Warriors vs Timberwolves Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | -1.5 (-110) | -125 | Ov 234 (-110) |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | +1.5 (-110) | +105 | Un 234 (-110) |
Odds as of Nov 26 at DraftKings. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Warriors vs Timberwolves game.
The NBA odds have the T-Wolves as 1.5-point home underdogs, with a total set at 234 points.
It all gets underway Sunday afternoon, (November 27) at 3:30pm ET from the Target Center, in a game that you can see live on NBA League Pass.
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Golden State Betting Outlook
After a very sluggish 3-7 start to the year that also included a 5-game skid, GState has worked their way back to .500 by going 7-3 in their last 10.
This includes a 129-118 win over the Utah Jazz Friday night, their second straight W and fourth in the last five games.
Steph Curry led the charge with 33 points, five rebounds and four assists, while Klay Thompson added 20 points and six boards. The Splash Brothers each hit six three-pointers in the win, as the Dubs shot 51.5% from the field and 44.4% from downtown.
The sixth-highest scoring team in the league, and top-five shooting from three, Golden State is still hemorrhaging a ton of points, forcing them to outscore their problems. They allow 117.5 points per game, which ranks 28th in the NBA.
Steph Curry is throwing up behind-the-back floaters while looking away he’s officially the 🐐 pic.twitter.com/HQNrkPRVBI
— Jon Asaad (@jaynbablog) November 26, 2022
Golden State’s home-road splits are as stark as their home record of 9-1 and road record of 1-9. Away from Chase Center, the Warriors are only scoring 111.9 points a contest, nearly a full 10 points worse than at home.
Defensively, they are surrendering 124.2 points per game on the road, nearly 14 points more than they allow in ‘Frisco. That would rank dead last in the NBA with a few points to spare. While they hold teams to 30% from three-point range at Chase, teams are firing at a 40% clip against them on the road.
Minnesota Betting Outlook
While we all expect the Warriors to eventually turn it around, we don’t know yet what we have with Minnesota, who happen to sit just above Golden State in ninth in the West, with both teams sitting in play-in positions.
The Timberwolves had their season-best 5-game win streak busted in Charlotte, losing a close 110-108 decision to the Hornets.
Anthony Edwards had a team-high 25 points to go along with five rebounds and four dimes, while Karl-Anthony Towns had 19 points, four boards and five dimes, but struggled from the field, hitting just 6-of-22. Rudy Gobert added 17 points, 17 rebounds and a pair of blocks.
that man had a family 🤯 pic.twitter.com/Gk1n3mP22C
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) November 26, 2022
Minnesota lost the game with their inability to hit the money ball, going 9-for-41 from three-point range, just a 22% mark. On the year, they shoot it at the 4th-worst rate of 32.6%.
The addition of Rudy Gobert has brought mixed reviews so far. especially on the defensive end. The Wolves are just 17th in scoring defense, allowing 113.5 points per game, but they are second in field-goal shooting defense, holding teams to 44.4%. They are also eighth in defensive rating.
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Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction
Part of Golden State’s recent successful run was breaking through for their first road win, but it took a throwback Thompson performance (41 points) to knock off the lowly Rockets.
Minnesota has struggled covering at Target Center as of late, going 1-4 against the spread in their last five home games — though they are a sparkling 13-4 ATS in their last 17 Sunday games.
The Dubs have also struggled to cover in this matchup, running an 0-4 mark ATS in their last four stops in Minnesota.
Until GState consistently brings their nearly unstoppable home effort on the road with them, I’ll gladly take the “underdog” in this one.
Pick:
- Timberwolves +1.5 (-110); 1 unit to win 0.91 units
- NBA Betting Record: 11-7 ATS, 1-0 ML, 2-2 o/u; 0-1 parlays; +3.44 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
