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Oregon vs USC Odds, Lines and Spread

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in College Basketball

Updated Feb 24, 2021 · 9:22 AM PST

Chris Duarte Oregon Ducks
Oregon guard Chris Duarte (5) runs into Colorado guard Eli Parquet (24) as he drives the lane during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Thursday, Feb. 18, 2021, in Eugene, Ore. (AP Photo/Andy Nelson)
  • Oregon brings a five-game winning streak into its rescheduled Pac-12 game against #17 USC at 9 pm ET Monday in Los Angeles
  • The Trojans had a seven-game winning streak — and six-game ATS winning streak — snapped in a home loss to Arizona on Saturday
  • Check the odds, analysis and betting predictions below

#17 USC and Oregon, two of three remaining contenders for the Pac-12 regular season title, will meet in a rescheduled game at 9 pm ET Monday in Los Angeles. The winner will join UCLA as the only league teams with three league losses.

Oregon has returned to form after playing only two games in 27 days while working through a pair of coronavirus-related pauses in its program in late January and early February.

Oregon vs #17 USC Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Oregon Ducks +154 +3.5 (-110) Over 138.5 (-110)
USC Trojans -184 -3.5 (-110) Under 138.5 (-110)

Odds from FanDuel on Feb 21.

USC is No. 11 in the KenPom rankings in adjusted efficiency margin, and it is one of six NCAA Division I teams in KenPom’s top 20 in both adjusted offensive efficiency and adjusted defensive efficiency.

No. 1 Gonzaga, No. 2 Baylor, No. 3 Michigan, No. 5 Illinois and No. 6 Houston are the others.

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The Trojans’ ranking can be traced to the two-way play of freshman center Evan Mobley, projected to be one of the top five selections in the 2021 NBA draft if he declares.

USC, Oregon Feature Go-To Guys

Mobley, a 7-footer, has emerged as the top candidate for the Pac-12 player of the year as the season has progressed, and Oregon 6-6 senior guard Chris Duarte is among those in the next echelon of contenders.

Each is his team’s focal point in crunch time.

Mobley is averaging 17.1 points and a league-high 8.8 rebounds per game while shooting 59.9 percent from the field. He is fourth in Division I with an average of 3.18 blocked shots per game.

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Duarte is averaging 17.1 points and 4.1 rebounds while shooting 52.6 percent from the floor, best among Pac-12 guards. Duarte leads the league in steals (2.1) and three-point makes (2.56) per game.

Duarte also leads the Pac-12 with a 63.4 effective field goal percentage. Mobley is No. 2 at 61.9 percent.

The Ducks will combat Mobley with 6-6 active forwards Eugene Omoruyi (17.2 points, 5.4 rebounds) and Eric Williams Jr. (11.0 points, 6.4 rebounds). Omoruyi has scored in double figures in every game but one. Athletic 6-11 freshman reserve Franck Kepnang has played eight games since he gained his eligibility Jan. 9.

Battle on the Glass

With Evan Mobley and 6-10 sophomore brother Isaiah Mobley supplying the size, USC leads the Pac-12 with 40.7 rebounds per game, 12.5 offensive rebounds per game and a +7.7 rebound margin.

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Oregon ranks in the middle of the pack with a +2.4 margin. The Ducks have out-rebounded 11 opponents and is 9-2 in those games, but they are 1-2-1 in rebound margin in the last four games.

The Trojans have lost all three games in which they have been out-rebounded. Arizona had a  43-36 advantage in its 81-72 victory at USC on Saturday, the first time 13 games the Trojans did not have the rebounding edge.

By the Numbers

USC is a league-best 14-8 ATS and has won six of its last seven against the number, the lone loss coming when it failed to cover as a six-point favorite against Arizona. The Trojans are 8-5 ATS at home, all as a favorite.

The Ducks are 9-9 ATS, 1-1 ATS as a road underdog. In their last game as a road underdog, they beat Arizona 63-61 when getting 1.5 points on Feb. 13.

Oregon has been under the total in its last four games after going over in the previous five. USC has been over the number in six of its last eight and is 9-4 over at home.

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Oregon has won 16 of the last 20 games in the series although USC has won of the last six, including the last two at the Galen Center and one in the 2017-18 Pac-12 tournament.

USC is 21-23 in February during the meat of conference play in coach Andy Enfield’s last six seasons. Among common first division opponents Oregon has split with fourth-place Colorado and beaten Arizona. USC has split with Arizona and lost to Colorado.

Pick: Oregon +3.5 (-110)

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