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Fairleigh Dickinson vs St. Francis NY Odds & Predictions (Jan. 5)

George Nassios

by George Nassios in College Basketball

Updated Jan 4, 2023 · 9:10 PM PST

St. Francis Terriers guard Larry Moreno makes a pass
Nov 23, 2021; Queens, New York, USA; St. Francis Terriers guard Larry Moreno (5) looks to make a pass as he is guarded by St. John’s Red Storm guard Tareq Coburn (10) at Carnesecca Arena. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Fairleigh Dickinson Knights take on the St. Francis Terriers on Thursday, January 5th
  • St. Francis has taken each of the last five matchups between these two squads
  • For more Farleigh Dickinson vs St. Francis odds, read on below, plus check out our prediction

It’s a matinee affair on Thursday, January 5th when the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (8-8, 4-10 ATS) take on the St. Francis Terriers (6-7, 7-4 ATS) in a Northeast Conference tilt. Tipoff is set for 1:00 pm ET from the Generoso Pope Athletic Complex in Brooklyn, New York.

While the Knights have posted a better record so far this year, playing at home should give St. Francis a distinct advantage for this contest. The Terriers sport a 5-1 home record this year, while Fairleigh Dickinson are just 2-6 on the road.

Taking that into account the betting line has St. Francis as slight 1.5-point favorites in the college basketball odds for this tilt. We offer up more Fairleigh Dickinson vs St. Francis odds below, plus our best bet and pick for this game.

Fairleigh Dickinson vs St. Francis Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights +1.5 (-110) +102 O 143.5 (-110)
St. Francis Terriers -1.5 (-110) -122 U 143.5 (-110)

Odds as of January 4th at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook bonus

Oddsmakers have made this game almost a pick’em with the home side being the small favorites. At -122 on the moneyline, St. Francis have a 54.95% implied win probability. Their opponents have a win probability of 49.5% to steal one on the road.

 

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Fairleigh Dickinson Betting Analysis

After a terrible campaign where they were one of the worst teams in the Northeast Conference, the Knights seem to have rebounded quite nicely. Along with the Wagner Seahawks, they are the only team in the conference to have a record of .500 or better at this point.

It’s been a streaky season so far for the Knights, but since the holiday break, they’re on the positive side with two wins since their time off.

Defense has been the biggest issue for this squad so far. According to KenPom, they rank third-last in the entire country in adjusted defensive efficiency with a rating of 114.0, just in front of Lamar and Houston Christian from the Southland Conference.

Opponents have an effective field goal percentage of 56.7 against the Knights and are shooting over 60% from the floor on two-point field goals according to KenPom. They’ve given up at least 70 points or more in every road game this season.

St. Francis Terriers Betting Outlook

Being at home most likely is swaying bettors to put their money down on St. Francis in the college basketball odds for this game against Fairleigh Dickinson.

They’ve dropped just one of their six games at The Pope so far. On top of that, they’ve had a pretty good handle on their Wednesday afternoon opponents lately. You’d have to go back three years to find the last time St. Francis dropped a matchup against Fairleigh Dickinson.

Fairleigh Dickinson vs St. Francis Recent Results

Date Home-Away Spread Over/Under
02/03/2022 SFBK 81 – FDU 64 SFBK Under
01/21/2022 FDU 78 – SFBK 80 SFBK Over
02/17/2021 FDU 87 – SFBK 90 SFBK Over
02/16/2021 FDU 75 – SFBK 83 SFBK Under
01/02/2020 SFBK 79 – FDU 63 SFBK Under

Not only has St. Francis won each of their last five matchups, but they also covered the spread as the chalk in each of those clashes.

They’re just a game below .500 at 6-7 so far, but with upperclassmen, Rob Higgins (11.5 PPG) and Larry Moreno (9.2 PPG) leading the way, we expect them to climb into the top tier of the NEC by season’s end.

Fairleigh Dickinson vs St. Francis Pick & Prediction

Although the Knights have the slightly better record, St. Francis has been much better against the spread. The Terriers are 7-4 ATS while the Knights are just 4-10.

New Year’s Eve was one to forget for the Terriers as they were defeated by 22 points, but prior to that, they had covered the spread in five straight contests.

We can’t look past the difference home court will make when analyzing the performance of both these sides, so our prediction is to pick St. Francis with the points against Fairleigh Dickinson in the college basketball odds.

The fact they’ve owned their conference rivals over the last five only gives us more confidence the Terriers will be victorious in this one.

Pick: St. Francis Terriers -1.5 (-110)

 

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