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Kansas’ NCAA Tournament Odds Still +3300 ahead of Second-Round

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in College Basketball

Updated Apr 7, 2020 · 4:22 PM PDT

Dedric Lawson
Kansas forward Dedric Lawson was a force in their opening round win over Northeastern in the NCAA Tournament. Photo courtesy Twitter: @KUHoops
  • #4 Kansas faces tough test vs #5 Auburn in Round of 32
  • Jayhawks still undefeated on neutral sites this season
  • With a win, a potential KU-UNC showdown awaits in the Sweet 16

If anyone was feeling sour about no. 4 Kansas heading into the NCAA Tournament, the Jayhawks doled out an elixir in their opening-round game, dominating Northeastern from the opening tip to win 87-53.

Odds makers have taken notice, jumping them up the queue in a pack of teams just outside the top-10 betting favorites at +3300 – this from a team given +5000 odds when the Madness kicked off.

2019 NCAAM Tournament Favorites

Team March Madness Seed Odds to win 2019 March Madness
Duke 1 +275
Gonzaga 1 +500
Virginia 1 +500
North Carolina 1 +700
Michigan State 2 +1200
Kentucky 2 +1400
Tennessee 2 +1400
Michigan 2 +1600
Purdue 3 +1600
Texas Tech 3 +2000
Florida State 4 +2500
Kansas 4 +3300

*Odds from March 22, 2019

Now, with a victory over 5-seed Auburn – who did everything they could to hand #12 New Mexico State a win on Thursday – and the ‘Hawks could be staring down #1 North Carolina in the Sweet 16.

Is Kansas a worthy wager at +3300?

Jayhawks Written Off Early

The usually-high expectations for Kansas were tempered earlier this month when they lost a Big 12 tilt in Norman against Oklahoma. The loss dropped KU to 11-6 in the conference, mathematically eliminating any chance at the regular-season title.

This is the first year the Jayhawks haven’t at least shared the Big 12 crown since the 2003-04 season.

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And their play was uneven for Kansas basketball – this wasn’t a case where their stats may have shown a dangerous team on the horizon.

The Jayhawks ranked 131st in offensive rating and 102nd in scoring at around 76 points a game, while surrendering 70 points a contest (145th), and coming in at 78th in defensive rating.

But as volatile as one-game playoffs are in the tournament, the Jayhawks put together one of their best showings of the year, limiting Northeastern to their worst point-per-possession mark (0.78) in the last 77 games.

Vasa Pusica, the Huskies’ leading scorer, was limited to seven points on 2-for-13 shooting, his worst offensive effort since before Thanksgiving.

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On offense, Kansas pumped in 50 of their 87 points inside the paint, and old reliable Dedric Lawson led the way. His 25 points and 11 rebounds paced the attack, the seventh time in the last nine games he has led his team in both categories.

Is it Time to Wager on the Jayhawks?

This all depends on your level of confidence. The Jayhawks are a perfect 4-0 on neutral courts this season, including two of their best wins of the year, beating No. 10 Michigan State and No. 5 Tennessee.

However, if you count all their true road games (where they sport an ugly 3-8 record), they are just 7-8 this season outside of Lawrence.

But pedigreed programs like this have an edge when it comes to big games, and KU is no different. While they mainly flew under the radar and national consciousness this year (Zion Williamson casts a big shadow), they still put together an impressive 8-3 record against top-25 teams.

The Auburn match-up is a great test. The Tigers rank 15th in the nation in offensive efficiency and are a top-five squad in three-point attempts per game. If the Jayhawk defense is truly improved and shows out in the Round of 32, then picturing them taking down North Carolina in a potential Sweet 16 matchup isn’t that far fetched.

That being said, here’s hoping you’ve got other irons in the betting fire. Because we still think it’s Duke’s tourney to lose.

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