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LSU vs Mississippi State Picks and Odds

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in College Basketball

Updated Feb 9, 2021 · 7:28 PM PST

Cameron Thomas and Trendon Watford converge on Alabama player in the paint and contest his shot
LSU guard Cameron Thomas (24) and LSU forward Trendon Watford (2) double team Alabama guard Jahvon Quinerly (13) during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2021, in Tuscaloosa, Ala. (AP Photo/Vasha Hunt)
  • LSU Tigers look to extend their win streak vs Mississippi State to three games when they visit the Bulldogs on Tuesday
  • Struggling Tigers have lost four of five overall, while the Bulldogs vie for consecutive wins for the first time in nine games
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Tuesday night’s SEC conference matchup at Humphrey Coliseum

The LSU Tigers will try to put the brakes on a two-game SU losing streak when they visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Wednesday as 1.5-point underdogs. The Tigers are coming off a crushing 78-60 loss to the conference-leading Alabama Crimson Tide that marks their fourth defeat in five outings. The Bulldogs return home as favorites after closing out a two-game road trip with a 75-59 rout of the South Carolina Gamecocks.

Here’s a look at the odds and trends ahead of Wednesday night’s SEC conference matchup at Humphrey Coliseum.

LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
LSU Tigers +2.0 (-110) +110 O 145.5 (-110)
Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.0 (-110) -133 U 145.5 (-110)

*Odds taken at FoxBet on 02/09/2021.

Tigers’ Season Slipping Away?

When began as a promising season for the LSU Tigers has quickly come undone. The Tigers stormed out of the gate with 10 wins in their first 12 outings, including a 5-1 start to conference play. However, the team has been badly outplayed at times during a 1-4 run that has featured three outright defeats by wide double-digit margins.

LSU also has a long way to go to overcome its current lengthy road swoon. With losses in four of six away contests this season, the Tigers have now gone 3-9 straight up in 12 road contests since the beginning of February 2020.

The Tigers’ woes also extend to the sportsbooks, where they are currently enduring a 1-5 ATS run, and have covered in just five of 15 road dates since the calendar turned to 2020. A dramatic dip in offensive production has complicated matters for the team in recent outings. LSU shooters tallied a steady 86.1 points per game through their first 12 outings of the season, but have struggled to average 70.1 points during their current five-game swoon.

However, LSU’s top players have continued to play like it. Leading scorer Cameron Thomas has continued to hit the target. The freshman guard has averaged 25 points per game over his past three outings to lift his team-leading scoring pace to 22.3 points per game. Ja’Vonte Smart’s 29-point performance in a 76-71 loss to No. 10 Texas Tech marked a season-high for the junior guard, who also leads the squad in assists and steals.

Inconsistent Bulldogs Seek To Rewrite Narratives

The Bulldogs are also looking for answers as they return home looking to record consecutive SU wins for the first time in nine games. While last weekend’s victory in South Carolina as 2.5-point underdogs was welcome, consistency has emerged as a real problem for Mississippi State since conference play got underway.

Overall, the Bulldogs have fallen to defeat in five of their past eight outings, including a 2-5 run in conference play. The team has been badly outplayed during their current slide, scoring 55 or fewer points in four of the past five losses. That has helped sustain sports bettors taking the UNDER in totals betting, which has paid out in three of their past five games.

Bulldogs Remain Reliable Bet

While the Bulldogs have remained a reliable bet during their current shaky stretch, covering in five of seven contests, they face a huge challenge to end a 1-3 run against LSU. While Mississippi State has been held to fewer than 60 points in two of their past four dates with the Tigers,  the team has remained steady on home hardwood, posting SU wins in four of their past five visits from LSU,  while averaging 81.6 points per game during that stretch.

The Bulldogs have also covered in seven of 11 dates with LSU, but dropped a 92-88 decision to the Tigers as 3-point chalk in LSU’s last visit, back in February 2019.

With both these teams struggling look for Wednesday’s contest to be a low-scoring affair. That is in line with the trend favoring the UNDER, which has prevailed four of five clashes between these conference rivals. And with LSU struggling to run up the score on the road, opportunity knocks for the Bulldogs to rewrite their recent losing narrative against the Tigers.

The Picks: Bulldogs -2 (-110); UNDER 145.5 (-110)

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