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Baylor Favored to Make Final Four in the South Region Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Basketball

Updated Mar 14, 2021 · 9:03 PM PDT

Adam Flager dribbling the ball
Baylor's Adam Flager (10) drives the ball during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Texas Tech in Lubbock, Texas, Saturday, Jan. 16, 2021. (AP Photo/Justin Rex)
  • No. 1 seed Baylor is the odds-on -250 favorite to reach the Final Four from the South Region of the NCAA Tournament
  • No. 2 Ohio State (+300) and No. 6 Texas Tech (+300) are the only other team given odds shorter than +700
  • Six of the 16 schools in the South Region are past March Madness champions

As far as the South Region of the NCAA Tournament is concerned, oddsmakers are seeing it as a Bears market. Baylor, the #1 seed in the region, is the -250 favorite to emerge from the group in the Final Four odds.

Big Ten Conference finalists the Ohio State Buckeyes and defending March Madness runners-up the Texas Tech Red Raiders are next in the betting line at +300. However, then it jumps all the way to the Arkansas Razorbacks and Purdue Boilermakers, each at odds of +700.

The longest shots are North Texas State, Hartford and Oral Roberts, all with odds of +3000.

NCAA Tournament South Region Final Four Odds

School Odds
Baylor -250
Ohio State +300
Texas Tech +300
Arkansas +700
Purdue +700
North Carolina +900
Villanova +900
Virginia Tech +900
Wisconsin +900
Utah State +1400
Colgate +1500
Florida +1650
Winthrop +2500
Hartford +3000
North Texas +3000
Oral Roberts +3000

Odds as of Mar. 14th at DraftKings.

Action in the South Region gets underway Friday, March 19th, at 12:00 pm ET. The entire tournament is being played at a variety of venues in Indiana, with Lucas Oil Stadium serving as the hub. Games are being broadcast by CBS, TNT, and TBS.

Baylor an Overwhelming Favorite

On paper, what’s not to like about Baylor? The Bears only lost one regular-season game. Baylor is shooting 41.82% from three-point range, which leads the nation. On defense, the Bears force a turnover on nearly 20% of their opponent’s possessions.

Both Jared Butler (17.1 points per game, 5.0 assists per game) and Davion Mitchell (13.8 ppg) are viewed as 2021 first-round NBA draft picks. Butler drains three-pointers at a 44% clip.

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Beyond them, MaCio Teague is also good on almost 40% of his shots from beyond the arc and is averaging 15.8 PPG.

The Bears were unbeaten when they endured a three-week COVID-19 pause. Since coming back, they lost to Kansas and were dropped 83-74 by Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Tournament semi-finals.

Buckeyes Won’t Stop Here

Ohio State reached the Big Ten Tournament title game before falling to Illinois in overtime. Like Baylor, Ohio State can perform great feats and also stub their toes on the big stage.

In early February, they ran a 5-0 road gauntlet of Rutgers, Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, and Maryland. Then the Buckeyes lost four in a row. That may say more about how deep the talent pool is in the Big Ten this season.

 

Offensive depth beyond Duane Washington (15.3 ppg) and E.J. Liddell (16.0 ppg) and interior defense against bigs are concerns that may stop an Ohio State tournament run.

Razorbacks Offer Value

The six losses suffered by Arkansas are the fewest in a season since the Razorbacks won the 1994 NCAA title.

Arkansas is 12-1 over the past 13 games and finished second in the rugged SEC. All six teams to beat Arkansas made the tournament.

Could the Eagles Land It?

In 2018, it was in the South where #11 Loyola-Chicago rose up and posted that magical finish. Winthrop could the Loyola-Chicago team in this year’s South.

The 23-1 Big South champion #12 Eagles are deep – 11 players average at least 10 minutes a game – and they’re in the top 10 in both rebounding and offensive rebounding. They also open against a wounded Villanova squad.

Who Gets It?

It’s the year of the Big Ten in March Madness. Ohio State will emerge from the South.

Baylor might find it tough getting past an improving North Carolina Tar Heels squad in the second round.

Pick: Ohio State (+300)

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