College Football Odds – Week 6 Line Movement, Betting Trends and Best Bets
- Week 6 on the College Football schedule continues Saturday (October 9th)
- Money has flooded in on some key games, most notably the matchup between Boise State and #10 BYU.
- See below for which games have seen the biggest spread and total movement over the course of the past six days
The college football season rolls on Saturday (October 9th) with a buffet of appetizing games. Bettors have taken a clear stand on a handful of the day’s marquee matchups, but no game has seen more movement on its spread then the Boise State-BYU tilt.
Week 6 College Football Odds
| Matchup | Opening Spread | Current Spread | Opening Total | Current Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| #6 Oklahoma vs #21 Texas | OU (-3.5) | OU (-3) | 64.5 | 63.5 |
| Maryland vs #7 Ohio State | OSU (-19.5) | OSU (-21) | 69.5 | 71 |
| #11 Michigan State vs Rutgers | MSU (-4) | MSU (-5) | 50 | 51.5 |
| #13 Arkansas vs #17 Ole Miss | MISS (-4) | MISS (-5.5) | 65 | 67 |
| Vanderbilt vs #20 Florida | FLA (-37.5) | FLA (-39) | 56.5 | 59.5 |
| #2 Georgia vs #18 Auburn | UGA (-15) | UGA (-14.5) | 45 | 47 |
| Boise State vs #10 BYU | BYU (-3) | BYU (-6) | 55 | 57 |
| #19 Wake Forest vs Syracuse | WAKE (-7) | WAKE (-5.5) | 57 | 59 |
| #24 SMU vs Navy | SMU (-14.5) | SMU (-13.5) | 57.5 | 56 |
| #4 Penn State vs #3 Iowa | IOWA (-2) | IOWA (-1.5) | 42.5 | 40.5 |
| #9 Michigan vs Nebraska | MICH (-3.5) | MICH (-3) | 52.5 | 50 |
| #14 Notre Dame vs Virginia Tech | ND (-3) | ND (-1) | 47 | 47 |
| LSU vs #16 Kentucky | UK (-3.5) | UK (-3) | 52 | 51 |
| #1 Alabama vs Texas A&M | ALA (-17) | ALA (-18) | 50.5 | 50.5 |
| New Mexico vs #25 San Diego State | SDSU (-18.5) | SDSU (-19.5) | 44 | 42.5 |
Odds as of Oct. 8th at DraftKings.
Online sportsbooks pegged the Cougars as 3-point favorites in the Week 6 opening odds, but that number is long gone. The point spread is now up to BYU -6, with 79% of the ATS wagers at that number backing the underdog Broncos.
Buy The Move on BYU
Boise State is off to an underwhelming start so far, losing to Nevada, Oklahoma State and UCF through five weeks. They rank 80th in yards per play, and average a measly 2.4 yards per rush attempt.
Defensively, they’re yielding 414 yards per contest to enemy offenses, and just coughed up 41 points to Nevada, the 67th ranked offense per SP+.
Another week down and these teams are still going strong 💪
RT if your team is STILL undefeated this season! 🙌💯 pic.twitter.com/NU6x7f6tt9
— FOX College Football (@CFBONFOX) October 4, 2021
BYU on the other hand, already owns multiple wins over top-21 competition and are off to a perfect 5-0 start. They’ve won each of their five games by eight points or more and should have starting QB Jaren Hall back under center. Hall has missed the past two games with a rib injury, and while the Cougars won each of those outings, they did so with Baylor Romney who’s now dealing with a concussion.
CANNOT BE CONTAINED ☄️ pic.twitter.com/6eDQu6Ehl9
— BYU FOOTBALL (@BYUfootball) October 3, 2021
BYU has owned Mountain West competition for the past few seasons posting a 10-4 ATS mark in their past 14 matchups against teams from that conference. They’re 5-1 ATS in their past six matchups versus Boise State, and pummelled them 51-17 on the road last season as a 5-point favorite. Trust the line move and back the Cougars.
Iowa Undervalued
If you like love defense, the showdown between #4 Penn State and #3 Iowa is for you. These two programs rank fifth and fourth respectively in defensive efficiency per SP+, with neither conceding more than 20 points in any game this season.
The Hawkeyes opened as 2-point favorites, but have been bet down to -1.5. Per our college football betting trends, 84% of bettors are backing Iowa and rightfully so. The Hawkeyes lead the nation in takeaways and turnover differential, racking up 16 turnovers through five weeks. They rank second, behind only Georgia, in scoring defense, while yielding just 271 yards per outing to opposing offenses.
⌛️…#Hawkeyes pic.twitter.com/qBqVktis8V
— Hawkeye Football (@HawkeyeFootball) October 8, 2021
Iowa has won all five games by double-digits, covering in four of those matchups. They’re 14-1 straight up as a favorite over their past 15 games when favored by 4 points or less, and have a +108 point differential this season.
Start your day with a big man pick 6!@DaviyonNixon to the 🏠#Hawkeyes | #TBT pic.twitter.com/lnRt643wo6
— Hawkeye Football (@HawkeyeFootball) October 7, 2021
Penn State meanwhile, is no slouch, but this line should be closer to a field goal. The Nittany Lions have limited enemy offenses to only five touchdowns in 15 red zone trips and are fresh off a shutout victory over Indiana.
Like the Hawkeyes, they’ve racked up their fair share of turnovers (9) through five weeks, and are limiting the opposition to 313.4 yards per game.
back on the road again 🤘 #WeAre pic.twitter.com/JnhmWMJGoj
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) October 7, 2021
This matchup profiles as a hard fought, tight affair, just like each of their past three meetings. All three of those games were decided by a single score, and I’ll gladly back the home side in this instance.
Penn State is also 4-1 ATS, but have struggled under James Franklin in national spotlight games on the road. During Franklin’s tenure, the Nittany Lions are 0-7 ATS in true road games versus top-10 competition, with only one of those contests decided by less than 11 points. Roll with Iowa -1.5.
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
