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Florida vs Tennessee Odds, Spread and Prediction

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Sep 22, 2022 · 9:30 AM PDT

Florida vs Tennessee odds
Tennessee quarterback Tayven Jackson (3) hands off to running back Patrick Wilk (35) during an NCAA college football game against Akron on Saturday, September 17, 2022 in Knoxville, Tenn. Utvakron0917
  • In the Florida vs Tennessee odds, the Volunteers are 10.5-point home favorites in their SEC showdown on Saturday, September 24
  • The #20 Gators are 16-1 straight up in the past 17 games against #11 Tennessee
  • It’s the first time in seven games between the two schools that the Volunteers are favored

The 3-0 Tennessee Volunteers may be at home, but they are finding themselves in an unusual place as they play host to the 2-1 Florida Gators. Tennessee is favored.

Tennessee is a 10.5-point home favorite over Florida. It’s the first time the #11 Volunteers have been the chalk against the #20 Gators since 2016.

Florida vs Tennessee Odds

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Florida Gators +10.5 (-110) O 62 (-110) +278
Tennessee Volunteers -10.5 (-110) U 62 (-110) -355

Odds as of September 23 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.

 

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The good news for Tennessee is that in 2016, the last time the Vols were favored over the Gators, they won and covered as a five-point pick in a 38-28 home victory over Florida. It’s the Gators who are 16-1 straight up in the past 17 games against the Volunteers, though. Florida is 10-6-2 against the spread in the last 18 games against Tennessee.

The kickoff for this game at Neyland Stadium is set for 3:30 pm ET on Saturday, September 24. The weather forecast is predicting cloudy skies, 9 mph wind and a temperature of 78 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on CBS, or streamed via fuboTV.

Florida vs Tennessee Betting Trends

At moneyline odds of -355, the Volunteers are offering an implied probability of victory of 78.02% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Tennessee would be delivering a payout of just $12.80.

In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the bettors are of two minds. On the spread, Tennessee is getting 58% of the handle, while Florida is drawing 55% of bets. Moneyline bettors are solidly with the Volunteers. Tennessee is being supported with 74% of bets and 59% of handle. On the total, bets are 56% favoring the over. The handle is backing the over at a rate of 63%.

The total has gone over in eight of Tennessee’s last nine games. However, it’s the under that’s proven to be the winning play in four of Florida’s last six games.

In NCAA future bets, the Volunteers are +7500 in the National Championship odds. You’ll get +20000 odds if you’re backing the Gators to win the CFP. Tennessee is the +2200 third betting choice to win the SEC title.  The Gators are the ninth pick to win the SEC at +6000.

Volunteers Dominant On Both Sides Of Ball

When Tennessee doesn’t have the ball, the Volunteers are tough on the opposition. When they have the ball, they’re even tougher for opponents to deal with productively.

Tennessee is showing the #4 scoring offense in the NCAA. The Vols are putting up 52 points per game. They’re also #3 in the NCAA in total offense (553.7 yards per game). When defending, the Volunteers are displaying the #24 scoring defense. They’re limiting opponents to 14.3 PPG.

Tennessee has been surging on both sides of the ball, ranking fourth-best in scoring offense (52 points per game) and 24th-best in scoring defense (14.3 points allowed per game).

Gators Like To Grind It Out

Florida relies on the ground game to get the offense going. The Gators are rushing for 212 yards per game, 32nd in the nation. They’ve scored eight TDs with their ground game.

The problem the Gators must solve is the inconsistency of QB Anthony Richardson. He’s yet to throw a touchdown pass and has been picked off four times. His 51.7% completion percentage is the worst among all Power Five QBs.

Florida is scoring 25.3 PPG. That’s 76th in the NCAA. On defense, the Gators are allowing 26.7 PPG, slotting them in at 96th in the nation.

Florida vs Tennessee Prediction

Volunteers senior QB Hendon Hooker is a double threat under center. He’s completing 69.4% of his passes for 844 yards, with six TD passes and no interceptions. Hooker is showing a passer rating of 176.11, good for 18th among NCAA QBs. He’s also run for two TDs.

Tennessee has scored 21 TDs. That’s first in the nation. The Volunteers have scored at least 30 points in each of the past six games.

Florida has the worst third-down defense in the SEC. The Gators are 7-1 SU in the last eight games at Tennessee.

Pick: Tennessee Volunteers -10.5 (-110).

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