Kansas vs Kansas State Odds, Spread and Picks
- Kansas State is an 11.5-point home favorites over Kansas in the Sunflower Showdown
- The Wildcats need a win to clinch a berth in the Big 12 Championship Game
- See below for odds, analysis and our betting prediction
The formula is pretty simple for Kansas State (8-3, 6-2 Big 12): win and you’re in to the Big 12 Championship Game.
Standing in their way is Kansas (6-5, 3-5 Big 12): a revitalized program, bowl eligible, and looking to end a miserable 13-game losing streak to their in-state rivals in the Sunflower Showdown.
Not surprisingly, the Jayhawks are steep 11.5-point road underdogs in this one.
It all gets underway Saturday (November 26) at 7pm ET at the Bill Snyder Family Stadium, in a game you can see live on FOX.
Kansas vs Kansas State Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas Jayhawks | +11.5 (-108) | +340 | Ov 62.5 (-110) |
| [15] Kansas State Wildcats | -11.5 (-112) | -450 | Un 62.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Nov 24 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel Sportsbook promo code to bet on the Navy vs UCF game.
Weather could be a factor in this one, with rain expected in the forecast and a brisk 42-degree temperature at kickoff.
Jayhawks’ Betting Outlook
After a 5-0 start to the year, Kansas was brought back to earth as they hit the meaty part of their conference schedule.
They were hammered 55-14 last time out by the Texas Longhorns, their fifth loss in the last six games. Now, the Longhorns will be the Jayhawks’ biggest cheerleader in Week 13. A Kansas upset would propel Texas into the Conference title game.
Kansas has to be thrilled that stud pivot Jalon Daniels is back in the lineup. He’d missed the last six weeks with a shoulder injury, but Daniels looked good in his first start. He finished 17-for-26 for 230 yards and two touchdowns, while throwing one interception.
BIJAN ROBINSON IS UNSTOPPABLE!
His 4th TD of the day is ridiculous!🤘 pic.twitter.com/tBIpaFr20z
— TFB Texas (@TFB_Texas) November 19, 2022
The defense was gashed again, particularly on the ground, where they surrendered a staggering 427 yards rushing on 57 carries — a devastating 7.5 yards per tote — and six touchdowns.
On the year, the Jayhawks have the second-worst scoring defense in the Big 12. They are giving up 32.6 points per game, to go along with the second-worst run (190.5 ypg) and third-worst pass D (262.0 ypg) in the conference.
Wildcats’ Betting Outlook
Will Howard looked good in his second-straight start, as KState beat up on West Virginia 48-31. He went 19-for-27 for 294 yards, throwing a pair of TD passes, against one interception. He also ran for a score, as the Wildcats built a 14-0 lead and never looked back.
Howard has started in place of Adrian Martinez, who has missed the last two games with a leg injury. He could potentially be done for the year.
Perhaps that changes the run-heavy dynamic, but that element of their game is still vital. Against WVU, DJ Giddens rushed 12 times for 78 yards and a TD, while Deuce Vaughn needed 22 carries for his 67 yards and TD.
Starts with trust@whoward_ x @Leekfor6 pic.twitter.com/owKgAzwGHj
— K-State Football (@KStateFB) November 19, 2022
Their offense averages 32.2 points per game. The Wildcats’ run game is one of the best in the country, churning out 208.2 rush yards per contest, which ranks 17th.
KState also has the benefit of a terrific defense, and they were impactful against the Mountaineers. Cincere Mason had a standout pick-6, while the team piled up three sacks and four tackles for loss.
On the year, they are holding teams to 18.7 points per game, which ranks top 15 in the nation. They have also forced 20 turnovers against just eight committed.
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Kansas vs Kansas State Prediction
With so much at stake in this one, I can’t see the Wildcats messing around. They’ve dominated this matchup for bettors too, tallying a 10-3 mark against the spread in those 13 meetings. The favorite has gone 9-3 ATS over the last 12.
Howard’s passing ability expands the offense, but the run game should be featured against a Kansas defense that can’t keep up.
As a team, Kansas is sixth in sacks allowed, so Daniels could have fairly clean passing pockets. He’ll still be tested against the 54th-ranked Wildcats’ pass D, which gives up just over 217 passing yards per game. It’s going to take a supernova effort to keep this one close.
In case you’re interested in betting the total, the over has hit in the four of the last five games between these two at KState. For Kansas, their games have gone over in six straight on the road against teams with a winning home record.
The Pick:
- Kansas State -11.5 (-112); 1 unit to win 0.89 units
- Week 12 NCAAF Record: 1-1: Overall: 7-7 ATS, 1-0 ML, 1-3 o/u; -2.22 units
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
