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Michigan vs Iowa Odds, Spread and Prediction

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Updated Sep 29, 2022 · 7:57 AM PDT

Michigan vs Iowa Odds
Sep 24, 2022; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Michigan Wolverines players celebrate in the student section after the game against the Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Wolverines are 11-point road favorites over the Hawkeyes in the Michigan vs Iowa odds for their Big Ten college football game on Saturday, October 1
  • Iowa is 5-3 straight up in the past eight games against Michigan
  • The Wolverines are 3-2 against the spread the last five times they’ve been a double-digit point favorite over the Hawkeyes

The #4 Michigan Wolverines (4-0, 2-2 ATS) are 1-5 straight up in their last six visits to face the Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1, 2-2 ATS). Overall, Michigan is 3-5 SU in the eight games against Iowa.

At the same time, the Wolverines are 4-1 against the spread in the last five games against the Hawkeyes. And Michigan hammered Iowa 42-3 as 12-point favorites in last year’s Big Ten Championship.

This is the trend oddsmakers are going with for Saturday’s game between these two rivals. Michigan is set as an 11-point road favorite.

Michigan vs Iowa Odds

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Michigan Wolverines -11 (-110) O 42 (-110) -455
Iowa Hawkeyes +11 (-110) U 42 (-110) +345

Odds as of September 29 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.

 

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This will be the first road game of the season for the Wolverines. Michigan was 5-2 both SU and ATS on the road last season. Iowa is 2-1 SU at home and 1-2 ATS at home this season.

The kickoff for this game at Kinnick Stadium is set for 12:00 pm ET on Saturday, October 1. The weather forecast is predicting clear skies, 9 mph wind and a temperature of 77 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on FOX Sports, or streamed via fuboTV.

Michigan vs Iowa Betting Trends

At moneyline odds of -455, the Wolverines are offering an implied probability of victory of 81.98% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Michigan would be delivering a payout of just $12.20.

In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the Wolverines are drawing the majority of support in both moneyline and point-spread wagering. Michigan is getting 66% of the handle and 67% of bets on the spread. Moneyline bettors are backing the Wolverines with 79% of the handle and 87% of the bets. It’s the under that the public is hitting the hardest on the total. There’s 78% of the public handle going with the under. On the other hand, 58% of bets are seeing the over as the play.

Michigan is 0-3-1 on the total this season. Meanwhile, the total has also gone under in four of Iowa’s last five games.

In NCAA future bets, the Wolverines are the sixth betting choice at +2500 in the National Championship odds. Iowa is at +25000 to win the CFP. Michigan is the +550 second-betting choice to capture the Big Ten title.  The Hawkeyes are the sixth pick to take the Big Ten at +2000.

Wolverines Display Rushing De-Corum

Michigan running back Blake Corum is leading the NCAA with nine rushing touchdowns. He’s seventh in the nation in rushing, compiling 478 yards on the ground. Corum is fifth in the NCAA with 7.47 yards per carry.

The Wolverines are the #11 rushing attack in the nation, averaging 243.2 yards per game.  But the Michigan offense is not a one-trick pony. Wolverines quarterback JJ McCarthy is leading the nation with a .800 completion percentage. Michigan is also 13th in the NCAA in passing efficiency (177.15).

The Wolverines are 19th in the nation in total offense (489 yards per game) and eighth in the NCAA in total defense (244.8 YPG).

Hawkeyes Offense Is . . . Well, Offensive

Out of 131 FBS schools, Iowa ranks 131st in total offense and first in scoring defense. Michigan is rushing for more yards per game than the Hawkeyes are gaining when in possession of the ball (232.5 YPG). Only Massachusetts (three) has scored fewer TDs than Iowa (five).

Iowa QB Spencer Petras rates 112th in the nation in passing yardage (524). He’s thrown more interceptions (two) than TD passes (one).

On the flip side, Iowa is allowing an NCAA-low 5.75 points per game. The Hawkeyes are sixth in the nation in total defense (236.2 YPG). That’s about the only aspect giving Iowa any hope of giving Michigan a game.

Michigan vs Iowa Prediction

Michigan is #1 in scoring offense (50.0 PPG). Iowa is #1 in scoring defense. It’s that old story about the irresistible force against the immovable object. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 SU in their last five games against teams ranked in the top five.

On the surface, only these factors are suggesting that this could be a game worth watching. Then you check and see that Iowa is 120th in scoring offense (17.0 PPG). Even if they can put a bit of a governor on the Michigan attack, there’s just no way the Hawkeyes can score enough to win.

Pick: Michigan Wolverines -11 (-110).

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