Missouri vs Army Armed Forces Bowl Odds And Picks

• The Army Black Knights are 3.5-point favorites over the Missouri Tigers in the 2021 Armed Forces Bowl
• Army is 8-4 on the season to Missouri’s 6-6. Army’s strength is their rushing attack with is second in the nation. Missouri’s run defense ranks 125th.
• See the odds, breakdown, and betting advice below

The Army Black Knights (8-4) look to rebound after losing a late lead to Navy in the annual Army-Navy game. Considering they had won four straight games, a fifth had looked likely before Navy snatched victory away. Meanwhile, Missouri (6-6, 3-5) struggled just to become bowl eligible.

Missouri and Army have not faced each other in 39 seasons.

Army is motivated by their late loss to Navy a few weeks ago. Even with a 3.5 point spread on a neutral site, the Black Knights are carrying an astounding 86% of the betting money ATS and 81% of the moneyline. The Black Knights are 6-6 against the spread this season as they face off against Missouri on Wednesday night.

With news of Connor Bazelak not starting coming out on Wednesday morning, the line moved in favor of Army by 3.5 points, from a three-point to a 6.5-point spread

Missouri vs Army Odds

Odds as of December 22nd at DraftKings

Wednesday night’s game is set for an 8:00 pm ET kickoff at Amon G. Carter Stadium from Fort Worth, Texas. Partly Cloudy conditions and temperatures in the 50’s are forecasted. ESPN is carrying the broadcast. After opening at 56, the over inched up to 57 and has stayed steady.

Army Looking to Bounce Back

Things did not go well for Army. They were on the verge of a nine-win season when disaster struck against Navy. They scored 13 first-half points and then the offense just went cold. Their defense allowed two Midshipmen touchdowns in the second half. When a normally potent offense goes cold and the defense makes a couple more mistakes than usual, bad things happen.

With a good offense (26th in points for), Army could very well bounce back here.

Two All-America nods and Army's new single-season sack leader with 14.5 😤

Andre Carter has been a force for Army's defense in 2021.#GoArmy | #LastoftheHard pic.twitter.com/iTUyCaYh92

— Army Football (@ArmyWP_Football) December 17, 2021

The defensive line had mostly been stout over this final stretch of the season. That second half was a strange one for the Army defense. They will need to play better against Missouri, who has some weapons. The thing is Army does as well. They run at a rate of 286.9 yards per game. Christian Anderson and Tyrell Robinson are two of their bigger playmakers. Their speed will cause Missouri fits all night.

In scoring offense, Army averaged 33.6 points per game. Their defense is ranked #36 and has allowed 22.3 points per game.

Can Missouri Keep Up?

Will Missouri be able to keep up? The Tigers have a penchant for giving up lots of yardage and point. They were 116th in the NCAA in points allowed at 34.7 points per contest. The Tigers allow more than 445 yards a game defensively. That includes 229.3 yards rushing per game. Take a guess at what Army excels at? Exactly.

Now, the Tigers produce more than 400 yards of offense in a more balanced manner, They did manage to rack up almost 180 yards a game with a solid offensive line.

Week 17 SEC Beta_Rank Defense

1 Georgia
3 Alabama
7 Texas A&M
12 Auburn
15 LSU
20 Florida
21 Arkansas
23 Kentucky
25 Ole Miss
38 Miss State
43 South Carolina
61 Tennessee
95 Missouri
101 Vanderbilthttps://t.co/mNA40Ynkme

— Sharp College Football (@Sharp_CFB) December 20, 2021

Missouri will be without star tailback Tyler Badie, as well as Bobby Lawrence and Zeke Powell. That will make it more difficult to run. Combine this with the other injuries to Akial Byers and Martez Manuel. Losing two vital players on each side of the ball will make Missouri’s battle an uphill one.

Missouri vs Army Betting Trends and Pick

As we mentioned previously, there is no history between these two teams recently. Check this stat out with top rushing teams not just the triple option teams:

Army -4: Have gone at lengths this season about how bad this Missouri rush defense is. In bowl season we have traditionally seen this triple option teams dominate which goes hand in hand with a trend that teams who are top 10 in the nation in rushing yards have gone 68% ATS in

— The Sharp Side Podcast (@TheSharpSidePod) December 20, 2021

That is correct. A whopping 68%. Yes, Missouri has improved its rush defense a bit but 125th in the nation with several key injuries and lack of practice often spells doom.

Army will cover and this is a game that could go right past the over of 57. The spread is attractive enough to take the Black Knights Wednesday as they run all over the Missouri Tigers.

• Pick: Army -3.5 (-115)